D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls - More Markets
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 67.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $119.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Both Teams to Score (67.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 68¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.5K in volume.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams to Score | 67.5% | $2.5K | 68¢ | 33¢ |
Result Rules
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 14 at 7:30 PM ET.
AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps
While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.
Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.
Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities
Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:
- The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 67.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 63.7%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -3.8%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
| Market | Trade Value | Fair Value | EV Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score | 67.5% | 63.7% | -3.8% |
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Oct 14, 2026
- 09:41 PMUPUpTheBlues$130.05
Bought 289 Over for D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5 at 0.45
- 09:41 PMIWiWasEnough$2.30
Bought 5 Over for D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5 at 0.46
- 09:41 PMIWiWasEnough$2.25
Bought 5 Over for D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5 at 0.45
- 09:41 PMUPUpTheBlues$157.50
Bought 350 Over for D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5 at 0.45
- 09:40 PMUPUpTheBlues$132.84
Bought 295.19 Over for D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5 at 0.45
- 09:40 PMIWiWasEnough$2.25
Bought 5 Over for D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5 at 0.45
- 09:40 PMUPUpTheBlues$127.89
Bought 284.2 Over for D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5 at 0.45
- 09:40 PMIWiWasEnough$2.25
Bought 5 Over for D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5 at 0.45
- 09:40 PMUPUpTheBlues$137.79
Bought 306.2 Over for D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5 at 0.45
- 09:40 PMIWiWasEnough$2.25
Bought 5 Over for D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5 at 0.45
- 09:39 PM——$2.80
Bought 5 Under for D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5 at 0.56
- 09:39 PM——$2.80
Bought 5 Under for D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5 at 0.56
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls - More Markets"?
As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 67.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $119.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?
The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.
Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?
Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 67.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 63.7%, a negative EV Gap of -3.8% that signals the contract is overpriced.