Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

$90.4K Vol
Oct 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Atlanta Braves 50.5%
Philadelphia Phillies 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,150% chance of winning. Atlanta Braves O/U 1.5 follows in second place at 6,950%, while Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 sits in third with 6,750%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $90.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Atlanta Braves O/U 1.5 (6,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Atlanta Braves O/U 1.5 maintains a 6,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,950¢.
  • Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 (6,750%): Sitting in third place with a 6,750% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 6.5 (6,050%), Atlanta Braves O/U 2.5 (5,950%), and 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,650%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.57150.0%—7150¢-7050¢
2Atlanta Braves O/U 1.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
3Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.56750.0%—6750¢-6650¢
4O/U 6.56050.0%$2826050¢-5950¢
5Atlanta Braves O/U 2.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
61st 5 Innings O/U 3.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
7Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
8Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves4950.0%$88.0K4950¢-4850¢
9O/U 7.54850.0%$1.1K4850¢-4750¢
10Atlanta Braves O/U 3.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
11NRFI4650.0%$204650¢-4550¢
121st 5 Innings O/U 4.54350.0%$1724350¢-4250¢
13O/U 8.54050.0%$1644050¢-3950¢
14Spread -1.53750.0%$5813750¢-3650¢
151st 5 Innings Spread -1.53400.0%$153400¢-3300¢
16Atlanta Braves O/U 4.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
171st 5 Innings O/U 5.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
18Philadelphia Phillies O/U 4.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
19Spread -1.53150.0%$5813150¢-3050¢
20Philadelphia Phillies O/U 5.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
21Philadelphia Phillies O/U 6.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
22Atlanta Braves O/U 5.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
23Spread -2.52650.0%$1862650¢-2550¢
241st 5 Innings O/U 6.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
251st 5 Innings Spread -1.52200.0%$152200¢-2100¢
26Spread -2.52100.0%$1862100¢-2000¢
27Extra Innings1200.0%—1200¢-1100¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for October 1 at 2:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 30, 2026

  • 11:34 PM
    MFMFR40
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.5

  • 10:56 PM
    ANangelus97
    $255.50

    Bought 511 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.5

  • 10:51 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $30.00

    Bought 60 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.5

  • 10:51 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $64.00

    Bought 128 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.5

  • 10:27 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $109.00

    Bought 218 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.5

  • 10:27 PM
    ——
    $2.65

    Bought 5.196079 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.51

  • 09:56 PM
    LUluisjosealcant1
    $4.90

    Sold 9.61 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.51

  • 09:53 PM
    JUjucalja1490
    $53.31

    Bought 102.519231 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.52

  • 09:50 PM
    LUluisjosealcant1
    $5.00

    Bought 9.615385 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.52

  • 09:42 PM
    REremingt0n
    $2.54

    Bought 5.19 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.49

  • 09:37 PM
    VRvrvrvrvr
    $36.14

    Bought 70.86 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.51

  • 09:37 PM
    VRvrvrvrvr
    $406.71

    Bought 782.14 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.52

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

2C1
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$371.63
Volume
$73,916.52
Positions
Atlanta Braves
2A2
0x2a07…7354
Event PnL
-$264.27
Volume
$52,864.17
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
NI3
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$80.42
Volume
$16,083.00
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
WA4
wapol
Event PnL
-$10.24
Volume
$2,048.00
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
755
0x755a…82c4
Event PnL
-$9.80
Volume
$1,960.78
Positions
Atlanta Braves
NE6
neutralwave23
Event PnL
-$24.51
Volume
$1,624.94
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
JU7
Jumperhq
Event PnL
+$0.08
Volume
$1,616.00
Positions
Philadelphia PhilliesOver
VE8
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$7.50
Volume
$1,499.98
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,150% win probability, followed by Atlanta Braves O/U 1.5 at 6,950% and Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 at 6,750%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $90.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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