W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes

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Oct 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Mutsumi Uemura 69.5%
Ashleigh Simes 30.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,100% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,250%, while W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Set 1 Winner sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes (7,100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (5,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,250¢.
  • W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Set 1 Winner (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Set 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Set 2 Winner (5,000%), W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%), and W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Set Handicap +/-1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes7100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
2Completed Match5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
3W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Set 1 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Set 1 O/U 8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
9W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Set 1 O/U 9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
10W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Set 1 O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
11W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Set 2 O/U 8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
12W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Set 2 O/U 9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
13W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Set 2 O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
14W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Match O/U 21.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
15W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Match O/U 22.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
16W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Match O/U 23.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mutsumi Uemura and Ashleigh Simes in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 8:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Mutsumi Uemura' if Mutsumi Uemura advances against Ashleigh Simes.

This market will resolve to 'Ashleigh Simes' if Ashleigh Simes advances against Mutsumi Uemura.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes"?

As of the latest update, W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,100% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5,250% and W35 Wagga Wagga: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes Set 1 Winner at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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