Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians

$425.2K Vol
Sep 27, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Cleveland Guardians 82.5%
Athletics 17.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 4.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,850% chance of winning. O/U 5.5 follows in second place at 5,600%, while O/U 6.5 sits in third with 5,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $425.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 4.5 (5,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 4.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $696 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 5.5 (5,600%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 5.5 maintains a 5,600% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,600¢.
  • O/U 6.5 (5,250%): Sitting in third place with a 5,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 6.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Extra Innings (5,000%), Athletics O/U 0.5 (5,000%), and Athletics O/U 1.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Athletics O/U 2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 4.55850.0%$6965850¢-5750¢
2O/U 5.55600.0%5600¢-5500¢
3O/U 6.55250.0%$52.9K5250¢-5150¢
4Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Athletics O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Athletics O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Athletics O/U 2.55000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
8Athletics O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Athletics O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Cleveland Guardians O/U 3.55000.0%$95000¢-4900¢
12Cleveland Guardians O/U 4.55000.0%$45000¢-4900¢
13Cleveland Guardians O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Cleveland Guardians O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Spread -1.54100.0%$1.0K4100¢-4000¢
16Spread -2.54050.0%$1044050¢-3950¢
17Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians1850.0%$160.7K1850¢-1750¢
18O/U 8.51600.0%$29.4K1600¢-1500¢
19Spread -1.5950.0%$1.0K950¢-850¢
20O/U 7.5700.0%$209.7K700¢-600¢
21Spread -2.5350.0%$104350¢-250¢
221st 5 Innings Spread -1.550.0%$750¢50¢
231st 5 Innings Spread -1.550.0%$750¢50¢
241st 5 Innings O/U 2.550.0%50¢50¢
251st 5 Innings O/U 4.550.0%50¢50¢
261st 5 Innings O/U 5.550.0%50¢50¢
271st 5 Innings O/U 6.550.0%50¢50¢
281st 5 Innings O/U 3.540.0%$10440¢60¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for September 20 at 1:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 20, 2026

  • 10:59 AM
    MEmercury777
    $528.00

    Bought 1100 Over for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 at 0.48

  • 10:05 AM
    XPxp6666
    $20.00

    Bought 40 Cleveland Guardians for Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) at 0.5

  • 10:04 AM
    0X0xA188633D5A62D73bCe9c3eB9EdE5f13b434162Ea-1776840905618
    $30.22

    Bought 60.4382 Cleveland Guardians for Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) at 0.5

  • 10:03 AM
    LAlarame
    $4.96

    Bought 15.5 Athletics for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.32

  • 09:53 AM
    TATattyBojangles
    $24.73

    Bought 61.833415 Under for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 at 0.4

  • 09:52 AM
    FVfvckjumpjanes
    $10.00

    Bought 14.492754 Cleveland Guardians for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.69

  • 09:40 AM
    0X0xb43e8032DA38c493878d0cE2BaA56da356B78200-1781110560945
    $24.06

    Bought 75.2 Athletics for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.32

  • 09:21 AM
    YOYosooooooo
    $1.46

    Bought 2.115941 Cleveland Guardians for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.69

  • 08:16 AM
    $15.01

    Bought 19 Cleveland Guardians for Spread: Athletics (-1.5) at 0.79

  • 08:00 AM
    $11.96

    Bought 23 Athletics for Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) at 0.52

  • 07:46 AM
    RErefgtrfsdd
    $4.80

    Bought 15 Athletics for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.32

  • 07:46 AM
    3434eefefd
    $10.35

    Bought 15 Cleveland Guardians for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.69

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$73.11
Volume
$120,072.28
Positions
UnderAthleticsAthletics
SA2
Sassy-Bucket
Event PnL
-$6,406.30
Volume
$100,003.59
Positions
OverOverOver
TA3
Talvez10
Event PnL
-$6,999.86
Volume
$100,000.00
Positions
Over
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$146.63
Volume
$99,839.37
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+4
MA5
maz26
Event PnL
+$111.27
Volume
$49,850.12
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
DO6
Donkey14
Event PnL
-$171.26
Volume
$34,252.50
Positions
Athletics
SD7
SDTrading
Event PnL
+$137.42
Volume
$27,016.75
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
KA8
kabina-
Event PnL
-$1,500.66
Volume
$18,995.09
Positions
Over

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians"?

As of the latest update, O/U 4.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,850% win probability, followed by O/U 5.5 at 5,600% and O/U 6.5 at 5,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $425.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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