M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson

Sep 28, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra 83.0%
Jan Simonsson 17.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,400% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,000%, while M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Set 1 Winner sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson (7,400%): Currently commanding the highest probability, M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,400¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Set 1 Winner (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Set 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Set 2 Winner (5,000%), M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%), and M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Set 1 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson7400.0%7400¢-7300¢
2Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Set 1 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Set 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Set 1 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Set 1 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Match O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Match O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Match O/U 22.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between William Rejchtman Vinciguerra and Jan Simonsson in the M25 Falun, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 9:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'William Rejchtman Vinciguerra' if William Rejchtman Vinciguerra advances against Jan Simonsson.

This market will resolve to 'Jan Simonsson' if Jan Simonsson advances against William Rejchtman Vinciguerra.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson"?

As of the latest update, M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,400% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5,000% and M25 Falun: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jan Simonsson Set 1 Winner at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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