Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

$83.6K Vol
Sep 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Philadelphia Phillies 56.5%
Milwaukee Brewers 43.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, NRFI is dominating the market with an overwhelming 44.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $83.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • NRFI (44.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, NRFI is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 45¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $784 in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1NRFI44.5%$78445¢56¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for September 22 at 6:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies NRFI as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 44.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 44.9% — yielding an impressive +0.4% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
NRFIBest EV44.5%44.9%+0.4%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 22, 2026

  • 11:13 AM
    0X0xA188633D5A62D73bCe9c3eB9EdE5f13b434162Ea-1776840905618
    $30.00

    Bought 71.428572 Under for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5 at 0.42

  • 09:50 AM
    ANAngeredbees
    $5.00

    Bought 11.111112 Milwaukee Brewers for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.45

  • 09:15 AM
    0X0xDF9D52fAAF2C19Aaf56D773BB818b861548416BC-1778900955216
    $2.35

    Bought 5 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 at 0.47

  • 09:15 AM
    0X0xDF9D52fAAF2C19Aaf56D773BB818b861548416BC-1778900955216
    $67.31

    Sold 146.32 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 at 0.46

  • 09:06 AM
    0X0xDF9D52fAAF2C19Aaf56D773BB818b861548416BC-1778900955216
    $68.77

    Bought 146.32 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 at 0.47

  • 09:06 AM
    PUpurplegatto
    $790.14

    Bought 1463.23 Under for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 at 0.54

  • 08:37 AM
    CIciserman
    $5.00

    Bought 11.111112 Milwaukee Brewers for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.45

  • 08:31 AM
    OOoookkkkla
    $5.00

    Bought 11.111112 Milwaukee Brewers for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.45

  • 08:26 AM
    CHcharay12
    $43.89

    Bought 78.375 Philadelphia Phillies for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.56

  • 08:23 AM
    MRmrkenlin8877
    $8.60

    Bought 19.111112 Milwaukee Brewers for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.45

  • 08:23 AM
    MRmrkenlin8877
    $54.00

    Bought 120 Milwaukee Brewers for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.45

  • 08:17 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $5.36

    Bought 11.911112 Milwaukee Brewers for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.45

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

HM1
HMLSF
Event PnL
-$128.27
Volume
$34,211.79
Positions
Milwaukee Brewers
SD2
SDTrading
Event PnL
+$80.49
Volume
$22,737.18
Positions
Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies
IM3
imjustkenisghey
Event PnL
+$170.16
Volume
$11,344.00
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
SH4
shaw
Event PnL
-$34.00
Volume
$6,800.00
Positions
Milwaukee Brewers
505
0x50be…2891
Event PnL
+$31.50
Volume
$6,670.69
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
FB6
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
+$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
HO7
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$15.63
Volume
$3,125.21
Positions
Philadelphia PhilliesUnder
AN8
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
-$12.90
Volume
$2,580.00
Positions
Milwaukee Brewers

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies"?

As of the latest update, NRFI leads the field as the frontrunner with a 44.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $83.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags NRFI as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 44.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 44.9% — an Expected Value gap of +0.4%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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