St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Game Spread +/-3.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,050% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,000%, while St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Set 1 Winner sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Game Spread +/-3.5 (5,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Game Spread +/-3.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• Completed Match (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
• St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Set 1 Winner (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Set 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

• Alternative Options: This includes St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Set 2 Winner (5,000%), St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%), and St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%).
• Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Set 1 O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Guerrieri and Jesper de Jong in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Andrea Guerrieri' if Andrea Guerrieri advances against Jesper de Jong.

This market will resolve to 'Jesper de Jong' if Jesper de Jong advances against Andrea Guerrieri.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.