Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds

$191.5K Vol
Sep 27, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Chicago Cubs 100.0%
Cincinnati Reds 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Cincinnati Reds is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,965% chance of winning. Chicago Cubs follows in second place at 35%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $191.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Cincinnati Reds (9,965%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Cincinnati Reds is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,965¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Chicago Cubs (35%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Chicago Cubs maintains a 35% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 35¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Cincinnati Reds9965.0%9965¢-9865¢
2Chicago Cubs35.0%35¢65¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for September 20 at 1:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 20, 2026

  • 09:53 AM
    NInigiri99
    $5.20

    Bought 13 Cincinnati Reds for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.4

  • 09:52 AM
    FVfvckjumpjanes
    $10.00

    Bought 16.393443 Chicago Cubs for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.61

  • 09:20 AM
    YOYosooooooo
    $1.26

    Bought 2.065574 Chicago Cubs for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.61

  • 08:17 AM
    959527888
    $22.32

    Bought 55.8 Cincinnati Reds for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.4

  • 07:00 AM
    YOYosooooooo
    $1.26

    Bought 2.065574 Chicago Cubs for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.61

  • 06:21 AM
    FIfizzwont
    $24.40

    Bought 61.01 Cincinnati Reds for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.4

  • 06:06 AM
    0X0xE5d2Eb130304f714CCdB1158Cce66564b5740814-1770145113534
    $2.88

    Bought 7.384616 Cincinnati Reds for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.39

  • 06:05 AM
    NInigiri99
    $99.45

    Bought 255 Cincinnati Reds for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.39

  • 06:05 AM
    NInigiri99
    $3.12

    Bought 8 Cincinnati Reds for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.39

  • 05:39 AM
    BOBozouro
    $5.00

    Bought 8.064515 Chicago Cubs for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.62

  • 05:34 AM
    YOYosooooooo
    $1.00

    Bought 1.612902 Chicago Cubs for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.62

  • 03:59 AM
    $6.37

    Bought 10.442623 Chicago Cubs for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.61

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

PL1
pleaseplease123
Event PnL
+$512.90
Volume
$100,946.69
Positions
Under
NI2
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$247.15
Volume
$58,466.77
Positions
OverCincinnati Reds
WR3
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
-$964.44
Volume
$24,554.22
Positions
OverCincinnati Reds
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$5,507.89
Volume
$14,297.36
Positions
Chicago CubsOverUnder
DO5
Donkey14
Event PnL
-$3,252.12
Volume
$9,329.99
Positions
Cincinnati Reds
8E6
0x8efa…894c
Event PnL
-$80.01
Volume
$8,001.00
Positions
Over
CU7
curie
Event PnL
-$741.35
Volume
$6,062.13
Positions
Cincinnati RedsUnderUnder+1
HO8
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$1,967.92
Volume
$5,904.16
Positions
Chicago CubsUnderUnder+1

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds"?

As of the latest update, Cincinnati Reds leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,965% win probability, followed by Chicago Cubs at 35%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $191.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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