
LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Odd/Even Total Kills is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,150% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor follows in second place at 5,000%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $84.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Odd/Even Total Kills (5,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Odd/Even Total Kills is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%), Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%), and Match Winner (2,950%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Penta Kill are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 2 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Match Winner | 2950.0% | $84.2K | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 7 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between Team Vitality and BNK FEARX in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against BNK FEARX.
This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against Team Vitality.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Oct 1, 2026
- 12:36 AMFUFuguetaLDS$20.00
Bought 64.51613 Team Vitality for LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.31
- 12:23 AMK2K2899743$1.00
Bought 1.42857 BNK FEARX for LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.7
- 12:00 AMATatalays$1.00
Bought 1.42857 BNK FEARX for LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.7
Sep 30, 2026
- 11:54 PMSSSSSsss123$63.91
Bought 206.161291 Team Vitality for LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.31
- 11:15 PM0X0xbfD770B7ff0$14.61
Bought 47.129033 Team Vitality for LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.31
- 11:00 PMNINicksypoo$700.00
Bought 2258.064517 Team Vitality for LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.31
- 10:52 PM——$0.14
Sold 0.45 Team Vitality for LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.3
- 10:51 PM——$1.80
Sold 6 Team Vitality for LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.3
- 10:51 PM——$2.00
Bought 6.451613 Team Vitality for LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.31
- 09:59 PMLALafufu-xG$7.90
Bought 25.49 Team Vitality for LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.31
- 09:07 PMARAru021$2.00
Bought 2.857143 BNK FEARX for LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.7
- 08:05 PM0X0xF95e269D7E6c37dA86DcbC2fC515E9BBd7741816-1766598412494$107.50
Bought 346.774194 Team Vitality for LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.31
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage"?
As of the latest update, Odd/Even Total Kills leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,150% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 5,000% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $84.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
