
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. First Blood in Game 1? follows in second place at 9,950%, while Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? sits in third with 9,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $614.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $376.4K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- First Blood in Game 1? (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, First Blood in Game 1? maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
- Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? (9,950%): Sitting in third place with a 9,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1? (9,950%), Match Winner (9,150%), and Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5) (7,950%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Game 2 Winner are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 9995.0% | $376.4K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | First Blood in Game 1? | 9950.0% | $289 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 3 | Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? | 9950.0% | $5 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1? | 9950.0% | $10 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 5 | Match Winner | 9150.0% | $324.1K | 9150¢ | -9050¢ |
| 6 | Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5) | 7950.0% | $65.4K | 7950¢ | -7850¢ |
| 7 | Game 2 Winner | 7750.0% | $154.4K | 7750¢ | -7650¢ |
| 8 | Game 3 Winner | 6950.0% | $5.5K | 6950¢ | -6850¢ |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? | 6800.0% | $2 | 6800¢ | -6700¢ |
| 10 | Game 4 Winner | 6050.0% | $868 | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 11 | Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs FlyQuest (+2.5) | 5500.0% | $27.1K | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 5050.0% | $101 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $20 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $20 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $20 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $20 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | First Blood in Game 3? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | First Blood in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | First Blood in Game 4? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | 5000.0% | $4.3K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 4750.0% | $4.8K | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 50 | O/U 3.5 Games | 4600.0% | $9.5K | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 51 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 4200.0% | $20 | 4200¢ | -4100¢ |
| 52 | O/U 4.5 Games | 1650.0% | $2.9K | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 53 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 50.0% | $2.5K | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 54 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 50.0% | $5 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 55 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 40.0% | $5.5K | 40¢ | 60¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Team Liquid and FlyQuest in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against FlyQuest.
This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against Team Liquid.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 20, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 20, 2026
- 10:05 AMKEkeepcool$192.00
Bought 376.470589 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? at 0.51
- 10:01 AMVIvincetrades$2.55
Bought 5 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? at 0.51
- 09:51 AMHOhooq$24.00
Bought 31.578945 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.76
- 09:48 AMMAMarlaSinger1999$76.00
Bought 100 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.76
- 09:45 AMXOXolaniki34$19.89
Bought 39 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? at 0.51
- 09:44 AMPUpupzalup$135.15
Bought 265 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? at 0.51
- 09:43 AMJEjeka9h$22.96
Bought 45.019608 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? at 0.51
- 09:43 AMNInibnibinibi$110.67
Bought 217 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? at 0.51
- 09:42 AMHOHopelessPlayer$3.54
Bought 7.08 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? at 0.5
- 09:42 AMPUpupzalup$122.91
Bought 241 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? at 0.51
- 09:39 AMSPsport909bot$1.00
Bought 1.886793 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.53
- 09:37 AMYAyagotov$245.82
Bought 482 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? at 0.51
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs"?
As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by First Blood in Game 1? at 9,950% and Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? at 9,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $614.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
