LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

$614.8K Vol
Sep 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Team Liquid 95.5%
FlyQuest 4.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. First Blood in Game 1? follows in second place at 9,950%, while Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? sits in third with 9,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $614.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $376.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • First Blood in Game 1? (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, First Blood in Game 1? maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? (9,950%): Sitting in third place with a 9,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1? (9,950%), Match Winner (9,150%), and Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5) (7,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Game 2 Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$376.4K9995¢-9895¢
2First Blood in Game 1?9950.0%$2899950¢-9850¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$59950¢-9850¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$109950¢-9850¢
5Match Winner9150.0%$324.1K9150¢-9050¢
6Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)7950.0%$65.4K7950¢-7850¢
7Game 2 Winner7750.0%$154.4K7750¢-7650¢
8Game 3 Winner6950.0%$5.5K6950¢-6850¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?6800.0%$26800¢-6700¢
10Game 4 Winner6050.0%$8686050¢-5950¢
11Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs FlyQuest (+2.5)5500.0%$27.1K5500¢-5400¢
12Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?5050.0%$1015050¢-4950¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
34Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
35Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
36Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
37Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
38Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
39Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
40Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
41Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
42First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
43First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
44First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
45Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
46Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?5000.0%$4.3K5000¢-4900¢
47Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
48Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
49Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?4750.0%$4.8K4750¢-4650¢
50O/U 3.5 Games4600.0%$9.5K4600¢-4500¢
51Odd/Even Total Kills4200.0%$204200¢-4100¢
52O/U 4.5 Games1650.0%$2.9K1650¢-1550¢
53Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?50.0%$2.5K50¢50¢
54Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?50.0%$550¢50¢
55Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?40.0%$5.5K40¢60¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Team Liquid and FlyQuest in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against FlyQuest.

This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against Team Liquid.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 20, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 20, 2026

  • 10:05 AM
    KEkeepcool
    $192.00

    Bought 376.470589 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? at 0.51

  • 10:01 AM
    VIvincetrades
    $2.55

    Bought 5 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? at 0.51

  • 09:51 AM
    HOhooq
    $24.00

    Bought 31.578945 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.76

  • 09:48 AM
    MAMarlaSinger1999
    $76.00

    Bought 100 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.76

  • 09:45 AM
    XOXolaniki34
    $19.89

    Bought 39 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? at 0.51

  • 09:44 AM
    PUpupzalup
    $135.15

    Bought 265 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? at 0.51

  • 09:43 AM
    JEjeka9h
    $22.96

    Bought 45.019608 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? at 0.51

  • 09:43 AM
    NInibnibinibi
    $110.67

    Bought 217 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? at 0.51

  • 09:42 AM
    HOHopelessPlayer
    $3.54

    Bought 7.08 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? at 0.5

  • 09:42 AM
    PUpupzalup
    $122.91

    Bought 241 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? at 0.51

  • 09:39 AM
    SPsport909bot
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.53

  • 09:37 AM
    YAyagotov
    $245.82

    Bought 482 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? at 0.51

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FO1
FORTNITEMASTER888
Event PnL
+$89.51
Volume
$31,711.99
Positions
FlyQuest
TA2
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
-$105.54
Volume
$28,546.47
Positions
FlyQuestFlyQuestFlyQuest
RE3
retordedgremlin125
Event PnL
+$132.99
Volume
$26,591.25
Positions
Team Liquid
FI4
five5120
Event PnL
+$99.02
Volume
$19,799.26
Positions
Team Liquid
MY5
mythos1.8
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
FlyQuest
996
999999666544332578855667788
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$9,999.99
Positions
FlyQuest
GO7
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
+$50.00
Volume
$9,999.99
Positions
Team Liquid
SK8
skadii
Event PnL
-$26.34
Volume
$9,888.58
Positions
UnderUnderFlyQuest+1

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by First Blood in Game 1? at 9,950% and Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? at 9,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $614.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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