
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,155% chance of winning. Any Player Quadra Kill follows in second place at 5,000%, while Any Player Penta Kill sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $628.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,155%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,155¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Any Player Quadra Kill maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
- Any Player Penta Kill (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Any Player Penta Kill, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Odd/Even Total Kills (4,995%), Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (4,800%), and Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (4,750%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Match Winner are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5155.0% | — | 5155¢ | -5055¢ |
| 2 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 4995.0% | $192 | 4995¢ | -4895¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 7 | Match Winner | 5.0% | $628.4K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between Shopify Rebellion and KT Rolster in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against KT Rolster.
This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against Shopify Rebellion.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Oct 3, 2026
- 12:02 AMEAEAKT$84.51
Bought 98.27 KT Rolster for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.86
Oct 2, 2026
- 10:44 PMENennyway$9.88
Bought 11.49 KT Rolster for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.86
- 10:38 PMMAmanbyka$5.65
Bought 6.569768 KT Rolster for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.86
- 10:37 PMCAcaspar1248$22.76
Bought 26.465114 KT Rolster for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.86
- 10:01 PMAMam100$227.64
Bought 1422.73 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.16
- 10:00 PM——$1.00
Bought 1.162785 KT Rolster for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.86
- 09:30 PMAMam100$743.15
Bought 4644.68 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.16
- 09:18 PMGOGordon-Gekko$5.04
Bought 36 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.14
- 09:14 PM——$5.00
Bought 35.714286 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.14
- 09:13 PMHOHoechst$7.50
Bought 8.620684 KT Rolster for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.87
- 09:13 PMKAkakadoi$3.08
Bought 22 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.14
- 09:13 PMREreconvene5228$25.72
Bought 183.714286 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.14
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage"?
As of the latest update, Both Teams Slay a Dragon leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,155% win probability, followed by Any Player Quadra Kill at 5,000% and Any Player Penta Kill at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $628.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
