Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris

$6 Vol
Oct 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Lloyd Harris 53.5%
Mattia Bellucci 46.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 21.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,050% chance of winning. Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 9.5 follows in second place at 5,750%, while Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Game Spread +/-1.5 sits in third with 5,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $6, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 21.5 (6,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 21.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,750%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 9.5 maintains a 5,750% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,750¢.
  • Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Game Spread +/-1.5 (5,350%): Sitting in third place with a 5,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Game Spread +/-1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 22.5 (5,250%), Completed Match (5,200%), and Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 Winner (4,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 21.56050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
2Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 9.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
3Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Game Spread +/-1.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
4Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 22.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
5Completed Match5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
6Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 Winner4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
7Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
8Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
9Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 O/U 8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
10Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 O/U 9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
11Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
12Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris4650.0%$64650¢-4550¢
13Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 23.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
14Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 Winner4250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
15Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Total Sets: O/U 2.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
16Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Set Handicap +/-1.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Lloyd Harris in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Lloyd Harris.

This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Mattia Bellucci.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris"?

As of the latest update, Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 21.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,050% win probability, followed by Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 9.5 at 5,750% and Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Game Spread +/-1.5 at 5,350%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $6, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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