LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

$97.1K Vol
Oct 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
LYON 65.5%
Cloud9 34.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,050% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? follows in second place at 5,350%, while Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? sits in third with 5,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $97.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $111 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? (5,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? maintains a 5,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,350¢.
  • Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? (5,350%): Sitting in third place with a 5,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Any Player Penta Kill (5,250%), Odd/Even Total Kills (5,200%), and Any Player Quadra Kill (5,200%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Odd/Even Total Kills are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 3.5 Games7050.0%$1117050¢-6950¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?5350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?5350.0%$1505350¢-5250¢
4Any Player Penta Kill5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Odd/Even Total Kills4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
31Game 4 Winner4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
32First Blood in Game 1?4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
33Odd/Even Total Kills4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
34First Blood in Game 3?4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
35Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?4750.0%$2.1K4750¢-4650¢
36Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)4700.0%$6724700¢-4600¢
37First Blood in Game 2?4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
38Game 1 Winner4150.0%$7174150¢-4050¢
39Game 2 Winner4150.0%$6864150¢-4050¢
40Game 3 Winner4150.0%$1174150¢-4050¢
41Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?3800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
42Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?3800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
43Match Winner3450.0%$91.6K3450¢-3350¢
44O/U 4.5 Games3250.0%$9743250¢-3150¢
45Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?3200.0%$313200¢-3100¢
46Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?3100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
47Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
48Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
49Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
50Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?2500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
51Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)2200.0%—2200¢-2100¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Cloud9 and LYON in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against LYON.

This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Cloud9.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 3, 2026

  • 12:26 PM
    RHRhmki
    $40.00

    Bought 85.106383 LYON for Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 12:26 PM
    RHRhmki
    $40.00

    Bought 85.106383 LYON for Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 11:50 AM
    PEPeace12345
    $400.93

    Bought 835.28 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? at 0.48

  • 11:43 AM
    RARand2026
    $23.63

    Bought 50.276596 LYON for Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 11:40 AM
    RARamonAlvim
    $60.00

    Bought 125 LYON for Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) at 0.48

  • 11:40 AM
    0X0xB73A762cdE2340573c49dCC0cb550d74104a8183-1764250283632
    $50.00

    Bought 104.166667 LYON for Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) at 0.48

  • 11:40 AM
    HEHeitorEscossia2050
    $49.78

    Bought 105.910834 LYON for Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 11:37 AM
    MAMathias17
    $10.00

    Bought 21.276596 LYON for Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 11:18 AM
    0X0x9D39bCDc1CF42d9D0e0623527c75A023b8bd5408-1787431926597
    $260.00

    Bought 400 LYON for LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.65

  • 11:17 AM
    CEcelsius60622
    $113.75

    Bought 175 LYON for LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.65

  • 11:17 AM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 3.076922 LYON for LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.65

  • 11:17 AM
    0X0x09dAc7226f8df37eBFAF277252Ce6EABEE6250BC-1769969406994
    $5.16

    Bought 7.938462 LYON for LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.65

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

-P1
-Pain
Event PnL
+$28.56
Volume
$10,099.86
Positions
Cloud9
LO2
lolpredict
Event PnL
-$66.98
Volume
$4,856.82
Positions
LYON
AL3
Allura
Event PnL
+$9.92
Volume
$1,982.30
Positions
LYON
GG4
ggvipi
Event PnL
+$6.72
Volume
$1,702.22
Positions
LYONLYONLYON
DE5
deron
Event PnL
+$23.74
Volume
$1,582.99
Positions
LYON
206
0x2040…4330
Event PnL
-$7.55
Volume
$1,510.00
Positions
Cloud9
FA7
fabiplouf
Event PnL
+$6.75
Volume
$1,350.00
Positions
LYON
JA8
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
+$6.62
Volume
$1,324.00
Positions
LYON

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,050% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? at 5,350% and Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 5,350%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $97.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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