Pyramids FC vs. El Gouna SC

$132.4K Vol
Sep 9, 2026
Resolved
Probability Trend
Yes 100.0%
No 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Pyramids FC vs. El Gouna SC”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Pyramids FC is dominating the market with an overwhelming 100% chance of winning. Draw (Pyramids FC vs. El Gouna SC) follows in second place at 0.1%, while El Gouna SC sits in third with 0.1%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $132.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Pyramids FC (100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Pyramids FC is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Draw (Pyramids FC vs. El Gouna SC) (0.1%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Draw (Pyramids FC vs. El Gouna SC) maintains a 0.1% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 0¢.
  • El Gouna SC (0.1%): Sitting in third place with a 0.1% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward El Gouna SC, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Pyramids FC100.0%100¢
2Draw (Pyramids FC vs. El Gouna SC)0.1%100¢
3El Gouna SC0.1%100¢

Result Rules

This event is for the upcoming Egypt Egyptian Premier League game, scheduled for Tuesday, September 8, 2026 between Pyramids FC and El Gouna SC.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Pyramids FC currently trades at 100%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 90.7%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -9.3%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Draw (Pyramids FC vs. El Gouna SC) as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 0.1% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 11.2% — yielding an impressive +11.1% EV Gap.
  • Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include El Gouna SC (EV Gap: +5.5%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Pyramids FC100.0%90.7%-9.3%
Draw (Pyramids FC vs. El Gouna SC)Best EV0.1%11.2%+11.1%
El Gouna SC0.1%5.5%+5.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 9, 2026

  • 08:35 AM
    SDSDFGE22
    $1.00

    Bought 1.28205 No for Will Pyramids FC vs. El Gouna SC end in a draw? at 0.78

  • 08:28 AM
    0X0xebf725855Ca149FC3fd2f15Be91DA2fe6d965f36-1772433373908
    $5.00

    Bought 7.142856 Yes for Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-09-08? at 0.7

  • 08:24 AM
    ALalvaro25011
    $2.00

    Bought 2.857143 Yes for Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-09-08? at 0.7

  • 08:23 AM
    BOBodilix
    $2.00

    Bought 2.857143 Yes for Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-09-08? at 0.7

  • 07:48 AM
    $20.00

    Bought 28.571426 Yes for Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-09-08? at 0.7

  • 07:46 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $952.38

    Bought 1360.542856 Yes for Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-09-08? at 0.7

  • 07:08 AM
    MAmamofaker24
    $2.00

    Bought 8.695653 Yes for Will Pyramids FC vs. El Gouna SC end in a draw? at 0.23

  • 07:08 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $0.77

    Bought 1 No for Will Pyramids FC vs. El Gouna SC end in a draw? at 0.77

  • 07:05 AM
    WAwangwangjun
    $10.00

    Bought 14.285713 Yes for Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-09-08? at 0.7

  • 07:01 AM
    LAlazysquidkid
    $20.00

    Bought 28.571426 Yes for Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-09-08? at 0.7

  • 06:30 AM
    $20.00

    Bought 28.571426 Yes for Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-09-08? at 0.7

  • 05:46 AM
    NInigiri99
    $3.15

    Bought 35 Yes for Will El Gouna SC win on 2026-09-08? at 0.09

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

UP1
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$47.25
Volume
$12,037.80
Positions
NoNoNo
GO2
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$575.03
Volume
$11,476.88
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YesYesYes
AU3
ausTaiwan
Event PnL
+$4.67
Volume
$9,330.53
Positions
YesNo
RN4
RN1
Event PnL
+$563.96
Volume
$8,963.66
Positions
NoNoNo
SY5
Syrrok
Event PnL
+$4.10
Volume
$8,112.47
Positions
Yes
SH6
shxtest1
Event PnL
-$1,429.86
Volume
$6,665.98
Positions
NoYes
SN7
SnakeBall
Event PnL
-$634.80
Volume
$5,900.97
Positions
NoNoYes
MA8
Magnabelli
Event PnL
+$1,262.03
Volume
$4,864.46
Positions
Yes

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Pyramids FC vs. El Gouna SC"?

As of the latest update, Pyramids FC leads the field as the frontrunner with a 100% win probability, followed by Draw (Pyramids FC vs. El Gouna SC) at 0.1% and El Gouna SC at 0.1%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $132.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Draw (Pyramids FC vs. El Gouna SC) as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 0.1% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 11.2% — an Expected Value gap of +11.1%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Pyramids FC. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 100%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 90.7%, a negative EV Gap of -9.3% that signals the contract is overpriced.

Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?

Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. El Gouna SC holds a positive EV Gap of +5.5%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.

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