Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, No is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,400% chance of winning. Yes follows in second place at 1,600%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $26K, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• No (8,400%): Currently commanding the highest probability, No is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,400¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• Yes (1,600%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Yes maintains a 1,600% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 1,600¢.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Lisa Cook as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Cook must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Cook) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.

If Lisa Cook resigns or otherwise formally departs her role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.