Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches

$102.7K Vol
Oct 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
PARIVISION 82.5%
Aurora 17.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,250% chance of winning. Game 2 Winner follows in second place at 7,550%, while Game 1 Winner sits in third with 7,450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $102.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (8,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $63.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 2 Winner (7,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 2 Winner maintains a 7,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,550¢.
  • Game 1 Winner (7,450%): Sitting in third place with a 7,450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) (5,750%), First Blood in Game 2? (5,500%), and Ends in Daytime (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Beat Roshan are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner8250.0%$63.2K8250¢-8150¢
2Game 2 Winner7550.0%$5367550¢-7450¢
3Game 1 Winner7450.0%$5.6K7450¢-7350¢
4Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)5750.0%$33.0K5750¢-5650¢
5First Blood in Game 2?5500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
6Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
17Any Player Rampage4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
18First Blood in Game 1?4450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
19Any Player Ultra Kill4300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
20Any Player Rampage4200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
21O/U 2.5 Games3550.0%$4223550¢-3450¢
22Any Player Rampage1900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
23Any Player Ultra Kill1700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
24Any Player Ultra Kill1250.0%—1250¢-1150¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Seeding match between PARIVISION and Aurora in the BLAST Slam Seeding Matches, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Aurora.

This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against PARIVISION.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 3, 2026

  • 01:00 AM
    ——
    $12.60

    Bought 15.36585 PARIVISION for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches at 0.82

  • 01:00 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.219511 PARIVISION for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches at 0.82

  • 12:57 AM
    K2K2899743
    $10.00

    Bought 12.195122 PARIVISION for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches at 0.82

  • 12:56 AM
    AEAerodiavolo
    $94.04

    Bought 361.692308 Aurora for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner at 0.26

  • 12:55 AM
    AEAerodiavolo
    $97.73

    Sold 227.27 Aurora for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.43

  • 12:53 AM
    AGagentcal
    $2.85

    Bought 5 PARIVISION for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.57

  • 12:53 AM
    AEAerodiavolo
    $100.00

    Bought 227.272728 Aurora for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 12:53 AM
    FIFirstOne111
    $6.36

    Bought 11.157895 PARIVISION for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.57

  • 12:42 AM
    HUhumbwrld
    $40.00

    Bought 90.909091 Aurora for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 12:42 AM
    FIFirstOne111
    $1.24

    Bought 2.175439 PARIVISION for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.57

  • 12:26 AM
    0X0x3FfF7538082077dc366bD9c4b14e2A78ca81Bb71-1770730890398
    $23.00

    Bought 52.272728 Aurora for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 12:22 AM
    DUDungdo89
    $1.14

    Bought 6 Aurora for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches at 0.19

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

0F1
0x0FDb…3107
Event PnL
-$70.98
Volume
$15,737.88
Positions
Aurora
GE2
GeorgeRe
Event PnL
+$45.54
Volume
$9,105.74
Positions
PARIVISION
VI3
vibing123
Event PnL
-$135.12
Volume
$9,010.72
Positions
Aurora
AC4
acorp
Event PnL
-$10.88
Volume
$6,732.38
Positions
PARIVISION
DR5
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
+$32.17
Volume
$6,649.64
Positions
AuroraAurora
OM6
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
+$71.76
Volume
$5,943.64
Positions
PARIVISION
CO7
coolz122
Event PnL
-$27.77
Volume
$5,554.97
Positions
Aurora
SI8
SimpleTony
Event PnL
+$26.25
Volume
$5,250.00
Positions
Aurora

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,250% win probability, followed by Game 2 Winner at 7,550% and Game 1 Winner at 7,450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $102.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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