Independiente Santa Fe vs. AD Cali - More Markets

$86.4K Vol
Sep 23, 2026
Resolved
Probability Trend
Under 100.0%
Over 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Independiente Santa Fe vs. AD Cali - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score in Second Half is dominating the market with an overwhelming 0.4% chance of winning. Both Teams to Score in First Half follows in second place at 0.4%, while Both Teams to Score sits in third with 0.1%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $86.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score in Second Half (0.4%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score in Second Half is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 0¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $4 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams to Score in First Half (0.4%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams to Score in First Half maintains a 0.4% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 0¢.
  • Both Teams to Score (0.1%): Sitting in third place with a 0.1% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams to Score, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score in Second Half0.4%$4100¢
2Both Teams to Score in First Half0.4%$6100¢
3Both Teams to Score0.1%$13.5K100¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for September 22 at 9:00 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 0.1% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 36.8% — yielding an impressive +36.8% EV Gap.
  • Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include Both Teams to Score in First Half (EV Gap: +0.7%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0.4%1.0%+0.6%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0.4%1.0%+0.7%
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV0.1%36.8%+36.8%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 22, 2026

  • 11:04 PM
    0X0x1bcef021C846cd82E3DaaB1F0E239c052465C696-1767521962995
    $5.00

    Bought 15.63 Under for Independiente Santa Fe vs. AD Cali: O/U 1.5 at 0.32

  • 11:03 PM
    YOyoucanbuythisbot
    $9.92

    Bought 32 Under for Independiente Santa Fe vs. AD Cali: O/U 1.5 at 0.31

  • 11:03 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $153.34

    Bought 494.64 Under for Independiente Santa Fe vs. AD Cali: O/U 1.5 at 0.31

  • 11:03 PM
    SHShaiMVP
    $10.00

    Bought 32.26 Under for Independiente Santa Fe vs. AD Cali: O/U 1.5 at 0.31

  • 11:03 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $427.96

    Bought 1380.51613 Under for Independiente Santa Fe vs. AD Cali: O/U 1.5 at 0.31

  • 11:03 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $177.12

    Bought 571.354839 Under for Independiente Santa Fe vs. AD Cali: O/U 1.5 at 0.31

  • 11:03 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $3.89

    Bought 12.548388 Under for Independiente Santa Fe vs. AD Cali: O/U 1.5 at 0.31

  • 11:03 PM
    YOyoucanbuythisbot
    $1.24

    Bought 4 Under for Independiente Santa Fe vs. AD Cali: O/U 1.5 at 0.31

  • 11:03 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 3.225807 Under for Independiente Santa Fe vs. AD Cali: O/U 1.5 at 0.31

  • 11:02 PM
    YOyoucanbuythisbot
    $1.24

    Bought 4 Under for Independiente Santa Fe vs. AD Cali: O/U 1.5 at 0.31

  • 11:02 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $4.06

    Bought 13.096775 Under for Independiente Santa Fe vs. AD Cali: O/U 1.5 at 0.31

  • 11:02 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $13.16

    Bought 42.451613 Under for Independiente Santa Fe vs. AD Cali: O/U 1.5 at 0.31

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$9,108.91
Volume
$27,119.76
Positions
NoIndependiente Santa FeUnder+23
GO2
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$4,107.79
Volume
$16,472.38
Positions
OverOverIndependiente Santa Fe+10
E33
0xE337…9540
Event PnL
-$239.56
Volume
$8,035.81
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+1
NM4
Nmcp
Event PnL
-$2,801.26
Volume
$6,106.80
Positions
Yes
RN5
RN1
Event PnL
+$1,680.01
Volume
$5,194.31
Positions
NoOverUnder+5
VE6
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$232.03
Volume
$4,742.62
Positions
UnderAD CaliUnder+1
PO7
polinomics
Event PnL
-$2,341.06
Volume
$3,395.42
Positions
Over
NI8
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$191.81
Volume
$2,951.00
Positions
Yes

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Independiente Santa Fe vs. AD Cali - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score in Second Half leads the field as the frontrunner with a 0.4% win probability, followed by Both Teams to Score in First Half at 0.4% and Both Teams to Score at 0.1%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $86.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 0.1% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 36.8% — an Expected Value gap of +36.8%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?

Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. Both Teams to Score in First Half holds a positive EV Gap of +0.7%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.

Get Started