M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo

Oct 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Manuel Mouilleron Salvo 51.0%
Mateus Alves 49.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Set 1 Winner follows in second place at 5,000%, while M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Set 2 Winner sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Set 1 Winner (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Set 1 Winner maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Set 2 Winner (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Set 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%), M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%), and M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Set 1 O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Set 1 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Set 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Set 1 O/U 8.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
8M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Set 1 O/U 9.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
9M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Set 1 O/U 10.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
10M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Set 2 O/U 8.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
11M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Set 2 O/U 9.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
12M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Set 2 O/U 10.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
13M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Match O/U 21.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
14M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Match O/U 22.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
15M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Match O/U 23.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
16M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo4900.0%4900¢-4800¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mateus Alves and Manuel Mouilleron Salvo in the M15 Curitiba, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Mateus Alves' if Mateus Alves advances against Manuel Mouilleron Salvo.

This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mouilleron Salvo' if Manuel Mouilleron Salvo advances against Mateus Alves.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Set 1 Winner at 5,000% and M15 Curitiba: Mateus Alves vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Set 2 Winner at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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