Utah State vs. Boise State

$137.3K Vol
Oct 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Boise State 91.5%
Utah State 8.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Utah State vs. Boise State”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Spread -0.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,100% chance of winning. Spread -1.5 follows in second place at 9,050%, while Spread -2.5 sits in third with 8,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $137.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Spread -0.5 (9,100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Spread -0.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spread -1.5 (9,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -1.5 maintains a 9,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,050¢.
  • Spread -2.5 (8,950%): Sitting in third place with a 8,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Spread -2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Boise State O/U 23.5 (8,750%), O/U 35.5 (8,700%), and Spread -3.5 (8,600%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Spread -4.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Spread -0.59100.0%—9100¢-9000¢
2Spread -1.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
3Spread -2.58950.0%—8950¢-8850¢
4Boise State O/U 23.58750.0%—8750¢-8650¢
5O/U 35.58700.0%—8700¢-8600¢
6Spread -3.58600.0%—8600¢-8500¢
7Spread -4.58550.0%$6508550¢-8450¢
8O/U 37.58350.0%—8350¢-8250¢
9Spread -5.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
10Spread -6.58150.0%—8150¢-8050¢
11O/U 39.58150.0%—8150¢-8050¢
12Spread -7.57700.0%$1927700¢-7600¢
13Spread -8.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
14O/U 41.57550.0%—7550¢-7450¢
15Spread -9.57400.0%$1657400¢-7300¢
161Q O/U 7.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
17Spread -10.57100.0%$1647100¢-7000¢
18O/U 43.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
19Spread -11.56900.0%$1656900¢-6800¢
201Q O/U 10.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
21Spread -12.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
22Spread -13.56600.0%$2186600¢-6500¢
23O/U 45.56500.0%—6500¢-6400¢
24Spread -14.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
25O/U 47.56100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
26Spread -15.56050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
271H Spread -8.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
28Spread -16.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
291Q Moneyline5750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
30O/U 49.55550.0%$2145550¢-5450¢
31Spread -17.55250.0%$2575250¢-5150¢
323Q O/U 7.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
331Q Spread -6.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
342H O/U 24.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
352Q Spread -6.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
362H O/U 21.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
372H O/U 27.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
382H O/U 30.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
392Q O/U 10.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
401H Spread -10.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
412H O/U 33.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
422Q O/U 13.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
432Q O/U 16.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
444Q O/U 13.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
45Spread -18.55050.0%$8.4K5050¢-4950¢
462H Spread -11.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
472H Spread -13.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
481Q Spread -7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
492Q Spread -7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
501H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
511H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
521H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
532Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
543Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
553Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
563Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
574Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
584Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
594Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
604Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Utah State 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Utah State 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Utah State 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Boise State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Boise State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Boise State 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Utah State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Utah State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Utah State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Boise State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Boise State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Boise State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Utah State vs. Boise State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Utah State vs. Boise State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Utah State vs. Boise State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Boise State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Boise State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Boise State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Boise State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Boise State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Boise State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Boise State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Boise State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Boise State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Boise State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Boise State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Boise State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Utah State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Utah State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Boise State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Boise State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Boise State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Boise State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Boise State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Boise State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Boise State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132Boise State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133Utah State vs. Boise State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134Boise State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135Utah State vs. Boise State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
136Boise State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
137Utah State vs. Boise State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1381H Spread -15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1392H Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1402H Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1412H Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1421Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1431Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1441Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1452Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1462Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1472Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1482Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1493Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1503Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1513Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1523Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1533Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1544Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1554Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1564Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1574Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1584Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1592H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
160Utah State O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
161Boise State O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1622Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1633Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1644Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
165Spread -20.54950.0%$3.5K4950¢-4850¢
166Spread -17.54950.0%$2574950¢-4850¢
167Spread -16.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
168Spread -14.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
169Spread -13.54950.0%$2184950¢-4850¢
170Spread -10.54950.0%$1644950¢-4850¢
171Spread -8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
172Spread -7.54950.0%$1924950¢-4850¢
173Spread -6.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
174Spread -5.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
175Spread -4.54950.0%$6504950¢-4850¢
1762Q O/U 7.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
177Boise State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1782H Spread -10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
179Spread -19.54850.0%$64.6K4850¢-4750¢
1804Q Spread -2.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
1813Q O/U 13.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
182Boise State O/U 32.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
1833Q Spread -3.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
184O/U 51.54750.0%$56.6K4750¢-4650¢
1851H O/U 27.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1861H Spread -11.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
1871H Spread -12.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
188Boise State O/U 26.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
189Boise State O/U 29.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
190Spread -20.54450.0%$3.5K4450¢-4350¢
1911Q O/U 13.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
192Boise State O/U 35.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
1931H Spread -13.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
194O/U 53.54250.0%$8094250¢-4150¢
195Spread -21.54050.0%$3814050¢-3950¢
196Spread -22.54000.0%$394000¢-3900¢
197Spread -23.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
1981H O/U 30.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
199O/U 55.53700.0%$53700¢-3600¢
2001Q O/U 16.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
2011Q Spread -2.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
202O/U 57.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
203Spread -24.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
204Utah State O/U 20.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
205Spread -25.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
206Spread -26.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
207O/U 59.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
208Spread -27.52800.0%$682800¢-2700¢
2091Q O/U 19.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
210O/U 61.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
211Spread -28.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
212Utah State O/U 23.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
213Spread -30.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
214O/U 63.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
215O/U 65.51700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
216Spread -33.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
217O/U 67.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
2181H Moneyline1400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
219Utah State O/U 26.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
220Utah State O/U 29.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
221Utah State O/U 32.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
222Spread -34.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
223O/U 69.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
224Spread -36.51100.0%—1100¢-1000¢
225Spread -37.51050.0%—1050¢-950¢
226Spread -0.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
227Utah State vs. Boise State850.0%$859850¢-750¢
228O/U 71.5850.0%—850¢-750¢
229Spread -40.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
230Spread -1.5710.0%—710¢-610¢
231O/U 73.5650.0%—650¢-550¢
232Spread -2.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
233O/U 75.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
234Spread -3.5500.0%—500¢-400¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Utah State and Boise State, scheduled for October 3 at 7:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Utah State" if Utah State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Boise State" if Boise State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 3, 2026

  • 08:39 AM
    MAmartinsugar
    $13.80

    Bought 15 Boise State for Utah State vs. Boise State at 0.92

  • 05:47 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Utah State for Spread: Boise State (-19.5) at 0.5

  • 05:15 AM
    ZGzgcdwf01
    $2.40

    Bought 5 Utah State for Spread: Boise State (-18.5) at 0.48

  • 05:15 AM
    SUsuperlxj
    $1.44

    Bought 3 Utah State for Spread: Boise State (-18.5) at 0.48

  • 05:15 AM
    DZDZ002
    $2.00

    Bought 4.166667 Utah State for Spread: Boise State (-18.5) at 0.48

  • 05:15 AM
    LOlocksnation
    $201.40

    Bought 380 Boise State for Spread: Boise State (-18.5) at 0.53

  • 03:01 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $5.50

    Bought 11 Utah State for Spread: Boise State (-19.5) at 0.5

  • 01:05 AM
    ——
    $6.93

    Bought 77 Utah State for Utah State vs. Boise State at 0.09

Oct 2, 2026

  • 08:42 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $0.01

    Bought 0.01 Boise State for Spread: Boise State (-18.5) at 0.52

  • 08:42 PM
    0X0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186
    $589.56

    Bought 1156 Boise State for Spread: Boise State (-19.5) at 0.51

  • 08:42 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $10.97

    Bought 20.7 Boise State for Spread: Boise State (-17.5) at 0.53

  • 08:42 PM
    0X0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186
    $3.41

    Bought 6.557693 Boise State for Spread: Boise State (-18.5) at 0.52

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

B41
0xb4F9…0186
Event PnL
+$27.74
Volume
$7,794.02
Positions
Boise StateBoise State
HO2
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$12.58
Volume
$4,225.57
Positions
Utah StateUtah StateOver+1
VE3
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$12.79
Volume
$3,418.74
Positions
Utah StateBoise StateUtah State+2
TR4
Trotz.85
Event PnL
-$8.17
Volume
$1,633.00
Positions
Utah State
MO5
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
+$2.51
Volume
$1,539.00
Positions
Utah StateOver
LO6
locksnation
Event PnL
-$1.90
Volume
$380.00
Positions
Boise State
FO7
Forecastication2
Event PnL
-$0.90
Volume
$322.00
Positions
Utah StateUtah StateUtah State
DA8
darkumbreon88
Event PnL
+$0.39
Volume
$204.09
Positions
Boise State

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Utah State vs. Boise State"?

As of the latest update, Spread -0.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,100% win probability, followed by Spread -1.5 at 9,050% and Spread -2.5 at 8,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $137.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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