M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi

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Oct 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Barney Fitzpatrick 50.0%
Sparsh Rathi Rathi 50.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,350% chance of winning. M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi follows in second place at 5,000%, while M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Set 1 Winner sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (5,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Set 1 Winner (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Set 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Set 2 Winner (5,000%), M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%), and M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Set 1 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match5350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
2M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Set 1 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Set 1 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Match O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Match O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Match O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Set 1 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
16M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Set 2 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Barney Fitzpatrick and Sparsh Rathi Rathi in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Barney Fitzpatrick' if Barney Fitzpatrick advances against Sparsh Rathi Rathi.

This market will resolve to 'Sparsh Rathi Rathi' if Sparsh Rathi Rathi advances against Barney Fitzpatrick.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,350% win probability, followed by M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi at 5,000% and M15 Heraklion: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Sparsh Rathi Rathi Set 1 Winner at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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