Troy vs. James Madison

$493K Vol
Oct 30, 2026
Resolved
Probability Trend
Troy 100.0%
James Madison 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Troy vs. James Madison”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Pick-Six Scored is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 follows in second place at 5,000%, while Troy Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $493K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Pick-Six Scored (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Pick-Six Scored is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Troy Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Troy Total Receptions: O/U 14.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Troy vs. James Madison: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Troy vs. James Madison: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
2Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Troy Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Troy vs. James Madison: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Troy and James Madison, scheduled for October 29 at 7:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Troy" if Troy win the game.

This market will resolve to "James Madison" if James Madison win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 30, 2026

  • 01:24 AM
    KEKeilerbets
    $393.77

    Bought 772.09804 Troy for Spread: James Madison (-21.5) at 0.51

  • 01:23 AM
    CLclownfishbets
    $8.33

    Bought 17 James Madison for Spread: James Madison (-23.5) at 0.49

  • 01:10 AM
    DCDCAAA
    $13.75

    Bought 25 James Madison for Spread: James Madison (-23.5) at 0.55

  • 01:10 AM
    DCDCAAA
    $27.50

    Bought 50 James Madison for Spread: James Madison (-23.5) at 0.55

  • 12:59 AM
    PLplatarb
    $5.83

    Bought 11 James Madison for Spread: James Madison (-21.5) at 0.53

  • 12:59 AM
    PCpcjones
    $6.36

    Bought 12 James Madison for Spread: James Madison (-21.5) at 0.53

  • 12:50 AM
    JUjustaluckydude
    $17.27

    Bought 23.03 Troy for Spread: James Madison (-30.5) at 0.75

  • 12:35 AM
    MUMulticoloured-Serf
    $796.06

    Bought 1941.62 Troy for Spread: James Madison (-23.5) at 0.41

  • 12:30 AM
    0X0x954D15E2ca1E2421e6D996107B6476A6c68ECD39-1774574096397
    $37.80

    Bought 70 James Madison for Spread: James Madison (-23.5) at 0.54

  • 12:30 AM
    0X0x1E3bB7DEf89B002D45FD86D37F35918c2618e232-1747406253166
    $47.36

    Bought 87.7 James Madison for Spread: James Madison (-23.5) at 0.54

  • 12:30 AM
    IWiWasEnough
    $92.78

    Bought 171.81 James Madison for Spread: James Madison (-23.5) at 0.54

  • 12:30 AM
    KAkarrigan1994
    $1,924.45

    Bought 3563.796297 James Madison for Spread: James Madison (-23.5) at 0.54

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Troy vs. James Madison"?

As of the latest update, Pick-Six Scored leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 at 5,000% and Troy Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $493K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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