Baylor vs. Arizona State

$92K Vol
Oct 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Arizona State 60.5%
Baylor 39.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Baylor vs. Arizona State”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 35.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,100% chance of winning. O/U 37.5 follows in second place at 7,700%, while O/U 39.5 sits in third with 7,450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $92K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 35.5 (8,100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 35.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 37.5 (7,700%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 37.5 maintains a 7,700% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,700¢.
  • O/U 39.5 (7,450%): Sitting in third place with a 7,450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 39.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 1H O/U 21.5 (7,350%), 1Q Moneyline (7,050%), and O/U 41.5 (6,800%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1Q O/U 7.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 35.58100.0%—8100¢-8000¢
2O/U 37.57700.0%—7700¢-7600¢
3O/U 39.57450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
41H O/U 21.57350.0%—7350¢-7250¢
51Q Moneyline7050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
6O/U 41.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
71Q O/U 7.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
8O/U 43.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
9Spread -0.56250.0%$86250¢-6150¢
10O/U 45.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
11Arizona State O/U 23.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
12Spread -1.55800.0%$85800¢-5700¢
13Baylor O/U 20.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
14Spread -2.55650.0%$3615650¢-5550¢
15O/U 47.55450.0%$2065450¢-5350¢
162H O/U 27.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
171H Spread -0.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
182Q O/U 16.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
193Q O/U 10.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
202H O/U 24.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
212H O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
222H O/U 30.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
233Q O/U 7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
244Q O/U 10.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
25Baylor vs. Arizona State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
26Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
271H Spread -1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
28Arizona State O/U 3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
291H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
302Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
312Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
323Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
333Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
344Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
354Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
364Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Arizona State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Baylor 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Baylor 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Baylor 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Arizona State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Arizona State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Arizona State 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Baylor 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Baylor 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Baylor 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Arizona State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Arizona State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Arizona State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Baylor vs. Arizona State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Baylor vs. Arizona State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Baylor 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Baylor 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Baylor vs. Arizona State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Baylor vs. Arizona State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Baylor vs. Arizona State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1131H Spread -2.55000.0%$275000¢-4900¢
1142H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1152H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1162H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1172H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1181Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1191Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1201Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1211Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1222Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1232Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1242Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1252Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1262Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1273Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1283Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1293Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1303Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1313Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1323Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1334Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1344Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1354Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1364Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1374Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1384Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1392H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1402Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1413Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1424Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1433Q O/U 16.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1442Q Spread -2.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
145Baylor O/U 2.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1461H O/U 24.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1474Q O/U 16.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
148Game Goes to Overtime4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
149O/U 49.54850.0%$1.2K4850¢-4750¢
1502Q O/U 13.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
1512Q O/U 10.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
152Spread -3.54750.0%$86.9K4750¢-4650¢
153Baylor O/U 23.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
1542H Spread -2.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
1552H O/U 33.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
156Spread -4.54450.0%$2164450¢-4350¢
1571Q Spread -0.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
158Spread -5.54350.0%$104350¢-4250¢
1591H Moneyline4350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
1601Q O/U 10.54300.0%$54300¢-4200¢
1611H Spread -3.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
162O/U 51.54200.0%$9774200¢-4100¢
163Spread -6.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
1642H Spread -3.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
165Baylor vs. Arizona State3950.0%$1.1K3950¢-3850¢
166Spread -0.53900.0%$83900¢-3800¢
1671H O/U 27.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
168O/U 53.53800.0%$53800¢-3700¢
169Spread -1.53750.0%$83750¢-3650¢
1701H Spread -1.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
171Spread -2.53550.0%$3613550¢-3450¢
172Spread -7.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
173Spread -8.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
1741H O/U 30.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
175O/U 55.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
176Spread -10.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
177Spread -3.52850.0%$86.9K2850¢-2750¢
178O/U 57.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
1791Q O/U 13.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
1801Q O/U 16.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
1811H Spread -5.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
182Arizona State O/U 29.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
183Arizona State O/U 32.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
184Arizona State O/U 35.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
185Spread -4.52650.0%$2162650¢-2550¢
186Spread -5.52500.0%$102500¢-2400¢
187Baylor O/U 26.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
188Baylor O/U 29.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
189Baylor O/U 32.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
190Spread -13.52400.0%$392400¢-2300¢
191Spread -6.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
192O/U 59.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
193Spread -14.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
1941Q Spread -3.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
195Spread -7.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
196Spread -16.51950.0%$5311950¢-1850¢
197O/U 61.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
198O/U 63.51850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
199Spread -8.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
200Spread -17.51700.0%$4751700¢-1600¢
201Spread -10.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
2021Q O/U 19.51450.0%—1450¢-1350¢
203Spread -20.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
204O/U 65.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
205O/U 67.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
206Spread -13.51200.0%$391200¢-1100¢
207O/U 69.51050.0%—1050¢-950¢
208Spread -14.5850.0%—850¢-750¢
209O/U 71.5700.0%$13700¢-600¢
210Spread -16.5650.0%$531650¢-550¢
211O/U 75.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
212Spread -20.5500.0%—500¢-400¢
213Spread -17.5500.0%$475500¢-400¢
214O/U 73.5500.0%—500¢-400¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming college football game between Baylor and Arizona State, scheduled for October 3 at 10:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Baylor" if Baylor win the game.

This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 3, 2026

  • 08:47 AM
    ACacw9111
    $4.27

    Sold 7 Arizona State for Baylor vs. Arizona State at 0.61

  • 07:16 AM
    VEvegasza
    $1.00

    Bought 2.569231 Baylor for Baylor vs. Arizona State at 0.39

  • 07:16 AM
    VEvegasza
    $1.00

    Bought 5.263158 Arizona State for Spread: Arizona State (-17.5) at 0.19

  • 07:16 AM
    VEvegasza
    $1.00

    Bought 4.545455 Arizona State for Spread: Arizona State (-16.5) at 0.22

  • 07:16 AM
    VEvegasza
    $1.00

    Bought 3.703704 Arizona State for Spread: Arizona State (-13.5) at 0.27

  • 07:15 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $23.04

    Bought 128 Arizona State for Spread: Arizona State (-17.5) at 0.18

  • 07:15 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $4.20

    Bought 20 Arizona State for Spread: Arizona State (-16.5) at 0.21

  • 07:15 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $9.10

    Bought 35 Arizona State for Spread: Arizona State (-13.5) at 0.26

  • 07:15 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $1.90

    Bought 5 Baylor for Baylor vs. Arizona State at 0.38

  • 04:09 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $49.00

    Bought 100 Over for Baylor vs. Arizona State: O/U 49.5 at 0.49

  • 04:08 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $1.85

    Bought 5 Over for Baylor vs. Arizona State: O/U 53.5 at 0.37

  • 04:02 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $1.90

    Bought 5 Baylor for Baylor vs. Arizona State at 0.38

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

UP1
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$8.75
Volume
$1,150.00
Positions
Arizona StateArizona StateBaylor+2
382
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$5.61
Volume
$996.28
Positions
BaylorBaylorArizona State+3
MO3
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$6.61
Volume
$574.00
Positions
OverBaylorArizona State+2
SN4
SnakeBall
Event PnL
+$4.95
Volume
$336.59
Positions
UnderArizona State
SD5
SDTrading
Event PnL
-$3.04
Volume
$297.08
Positions
Arizona State
DE6
DevilPenguin7
Event PnL
+$4.06
Volume
$287.32
Positions
Baylor
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$1.22
Volume
$224.36
Positions
UnderArizona StateOver+1
FI8
fizzwont
Event PnL
+$1.23
Volume
$160.11
Positions
BaylorBaylor

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Baylor vs. Arizona State"?

As of the latest update, O/U 35.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,100% win probability, followed by O/U 37.5 at 7,700% and O/U 39.5 at 7,450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $92K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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