Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi

$146.3K Vol
Sep 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Rio Noguchi 100.0%
Kaichi Uchida 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi follows in second place at 5%, while Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi Game Spread +/-5.5 sits in third with 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $146.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi (5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi maintains a 5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5¢.
  • Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi Game Spread +/-5.5 (5%): Sitting in third place with a 5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi Game Spread +/-5.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
2Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi5.0%$146.3K95¢
3Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi Game Spread +/-5.55.0%$4395¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kaichi Uchida and Rio Noguchi in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Kaichi Uchida' if Kaichi Uchida advances against Rio Noguchi.

This market will resolve to 'Rio Noguchi' if Rio Noguchi advances against Kaichi Uchida.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 14, 2026

  • 10:14 AM
    3D3dfx
    $1.00

    Bought 1.219513 Rio Noguchi for Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi at 0.82

  • 09:42 AM
    $3.60

    Sold 20 Kaichi Uchida for Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi at 0.18

  • 09:40 AM
    $3.80

    Bought 20 Kaichi Uchida for Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi at 0.19

  • 09:30 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.408451 Under 2.5 for Kaichi Uchida vs. Rio Noguchi: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.71

  • 08:21 AM
    MIMikiMuster
    $3.55

    Bought 5 Under 2.5 for Kaichi Uchida vs. Rio Noguchi: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.71

  • 08:20 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.408451 Under 2.5 for Kaichi Uchida vs. Rio Noguchi: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.71

  • 05:55 AM
    GEGeorgeStoian
    $9.12

    Bought 47.99 Kaichi Uchida for Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi at 0.19

  • 05:53 AM
    RURubenSZ
    $9.00

    Bought 10.975605 Rio Noguchi for Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi at 0.82

  • 05:44 AM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $223.31

    Bought 1240.611112 Kaichi Uchida for Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi at 0.18

  • 04:13 AM
    4242Edge
    $5.00

    Bought 26.31579 Kaichi Uchida for Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi at 0.19

  • 03:50 AM
    UNunknownaura
    $247.00

    Bought 1300 Kaichi Uchida for Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi at 0.19

  • 02:16 AM
    0X0x31E1E9FcB4250D2d062A34C93f233945577D1e09-1771820169022
    $1.00

    Bought 5.263158 Kaichi Uchida for Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi at 0.19

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

JA1
jaytee158
Event PnL
-$13,619.82
Volume
$66,470.13
Positions
Rio Noguchi
UP2
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$0.12
Volume
$14,978.75
Positions
Kaichi Uchida
RN3
RN1
Event PnL
+$1,988.09
Volume
$9,698.00
Positions
Kaichi Uchida
FL4
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$2,062.82
Volume
$7,542.94
Positions
Kaichi Uchida
FE5
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$1,149.92
Volume
$6,678.79
Positions
Kaichi Uchida
TR6
TRCM
Event PnL
+$1,230.00
Volume
$6,000.00
Positions
Kaichi Uchida
TR7
tradecraft
Event PnL
+$1,230.00
Volume
$6,000.00
Positions
Kaichi Uchida
FL8
flatbarrel
Event PnL
+$1,090.67
Volume
$5,320.36
Positions
Kaichi Uchida

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi at 5% and Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi Game Spread +/-5.5 at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $146.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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