Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli

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Oct 22, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Francesco Maestrelli 55.5%
Maxim Mrva 44.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,250% chance of winning. Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 2 Winner follows in second place at 5,000%, while Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Total Sets: O/U 2.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (5,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 2 Winner (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 2 Winner maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Total Sets: O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Game Spread +/-1.5 (5,000%), Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 1 Winner (4,950%), and Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Match O/U 21.5 (4,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Match O/U 22.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
2Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Game Spread +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 1 Winner4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
6Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Match O/U 21.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
7Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Match O/U 22.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
8Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Match O/U 23.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
9Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
10Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
11Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 1 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
12Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 1 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
13Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 1 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
14Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 2 O/U 8.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
15Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 2 O/U 9.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
16Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 2 O/U 10.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
17Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli4400.0%—4400¢-4300¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Mrva and Francesco Maestrelli in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Maxim Mrva' if Maxim Mrva advances against Francesco Maestrelli.

This market will resolve to 'Francesco Maestrelli' if Francesco Maestrelli advances against Maxim Mrva.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,250% win probability, followed by Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 2 Winner at 5,000% and Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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