Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro

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Nov 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Sho Shimabukuro 53.0%
Harold Mayot 47.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 1 Winner follows in second place at 5,000%, while Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 2 Winner sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 1 Winner (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 1 Winner maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 2 Winner (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%), Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set Handicap +/-1.5 (4,950%), and Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set Handicap +/-1.5 (4,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 1 O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
2Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 1 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
6Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
7Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 1 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
8Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 1 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
9Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 1 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
10Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 2 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
11Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 2 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
12Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 2 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
13Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Match O/U 21.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
14Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Match O/U 22.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
15Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Match O/U 23.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
16Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Harold Mayot and Sho Shimabukuro in the Taipei, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 9:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Harold Mayot' if Harold Mayot advances against Sho Shimabukuro.

This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Harold Mayot.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 1 Winner at 5,000% and Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 2 Winner at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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