Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

$497.6K Vol
Oct 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 100.0%
Hubert Hurkacz 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 22.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 10.5 sits in third with 9,955%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $497.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $13.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 22.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 22.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 10.5 (9,955%): Sitting in third place with a 9,955% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 10.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 23.5 (45%), Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Game Spread +/-2.5 (45%), and Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (5%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match9995.0%$13.6K9995¢-9895¢
2Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 22.59995.0%$4.4K9995¢-9895¢
3Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 10.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
4Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 23.545.0%$19445¢55¢
5Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Game Spread +/-2.545.0%$16045¢55¢
6Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina5.0%$605.2K5¢95¢
7Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 Winner5.0%$3.6K5¢95¢
8Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Total Sets: O/U 2.55.0%$1.6K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.

This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Davidovich Fokina' if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina advances against Hubert Hurkacz.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 29, 2026

  • 12:37 PM
    0X0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
    $4.96

    Bought 9.35 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina for Set 2 Winner: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 0.53

  • 12:34 PM
    AUAuro8
    $1.00

    Bought 3.030304 Hubert Hurkacz for Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 0.33

  • 12:33 PM
    ——
    $75.00

    Bought 110.294118 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina for Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 0.68

  • 12:33 PM
    ——
    $75.00

    Bought 110.294118 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina for Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 0.68

  • 12:33 PM
    RERensPeters
    $23.00

    Bought 46.938776 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina for Set 2 Winner: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 0.49

  • 12:33 PM
    M1M123888
    $2.00

    Bought 2.941175 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina for Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 0.68

  • 12:33 PM
    M1M123888
    $6.00

    Bought 8.823528 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina for Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 0.68

  • 12:33 PM
    PHphredmoz
    $1,244.32

    Sold 1857.19 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina for Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 0.67

  • 12:33 PM
    HEHengzIvory
    $5.00

    Bought 15.151516 Hubert Hurkacz for Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 0.33

  • 12:33 PM
    WAwall3r
    $4.79

    Bought 7.04 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina for Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 0.68

  • 12:33 PM
    8W8wenhao21
    $2.56

    Sold 8 Hubert Hurkacz for Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 0.32

  • 12:33 PM
    CRcriafla
    $22.87

    Bought 69.29 Hubert Hurkacz for Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 0.33

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KK1
Kkunn
Event PnL
+$15.61
Volume
$17,816.47
Positions
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
RD2
RDXR
Event PnL
-$129.30
Volume
$8,620.69
Positions
Hubert Hurkacz
KI3
kingflop
Event PnL
+$27.27
Volume
$5,454.55
Positions
Hubert Hurkacz
GA4
gagarin59
Event PnL
+$72.94
Volume
$4,862.79
Positions
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
NI5
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$0.10
Volume
$4,716.55
Positions
Alejandro Davidovich FokinaOver 2.5Over
DA6
darkumbreon88
Event PnL
-$23.24
Volume
$4,646.07
Positions
Hubert Hurkacz
AN7
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$62.18
Volume
$4,145.00
Positions
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
GC8
GC-P
Event PnL
-$5.79
Volume
$4,116.87
Positions
Hubert Hurkacz

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 22.5 at 9,995% and Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 10.5 at 9,955%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $497.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started