
Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,350% chance of winning. Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 Winner follows in second place at 5,050%, while Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 Winner sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Completed Match (5,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 Winner (5,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 Winner maintains a 5,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,050¢.
- Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 Winner (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%), Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%), and Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Completed Match | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 2 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 Winner | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 3 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 Winner | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 8 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 9 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 10 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 11 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 12 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 13 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Match O/U 21.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 14 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Match O/U 22.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 15 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Match O/U 23.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 16 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Shimizu and Bernard Tomic in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Yuta Shimizu' if Yuta Shimizu advances against Bernard Tomic.
This market will resolve to 'Bernard Tomic' if Bernard Tomic advances against Yuta Shimizu.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic"?
As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,350% win probability, followed by Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 Winner at 5,050% and Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 Winner at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
