Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado

$1.6K Vol
Nov 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Juan Carlos Prado 73.5%
Nick Hardt 26.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,500% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,250%, while Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 2 Winner sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $1.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,500%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,500¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (5,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,250¢.
  • Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 2 Winner (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%), Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Match O/U 22.5 (4,900%), and Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Match O/U 23.5 (4,900%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 O/U 8.56500.0%—6500¢-6400¢
2Completed Match5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
3Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%$1.3K5000¢-4900¢
5Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Match O/U 22.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
6Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Match O/U 23.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
7Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 O/U 9.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
8Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 2 O/U 8.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
9Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 2 O/U 9.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
10Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 2 O/U 10.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
11Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Match O/U 21.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
12Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Total Sets: O/U 2.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
13Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 Winner3400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
14Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado2650.0%$3212650¢-2550¢
15Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 O/U 10.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
16Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set Handicap +/-1.51450.0%$1.3K1450¢-1350¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nick Hardt and Juan Carlos Prado in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Nick Hardt' if Nick Hardt advances against Juan Carlos Prado.

This market will resolve to 'Juan Carlos Prado' if Juan Carlos Prado advances against Nick Hardt.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 29, 2026

  • 12:12 PM
    BEbetfun...
    $10.26

    Bought 38 Nick Hardt for Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado at 0.27

  • 11:16 AM
    NOnomadgambler
    $26.00

    Sold 100 Nick Hardt for Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado at 0.26

  • 11:16 AM
    NOnomadgambler
    $28.00

    Bought 100 Nick Hardt for Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado at 0.28

  • 10:08 AM
    ARArcus-AI
    $120.36

    Bought 236 Juan Carlos Prado for Set Handicap: Juan Carlos Prado (-1.5) vs Nick Hardt (+1.5) at 0.51

  • 10:03 AM
    ALalwayscha
    $7.30

    Bought 10 Juan Carlos Prado for Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado at 0.73

  • 07:12 AM
    MAMaximusGluteusDumpTruckus
    $10.11

    Bought 33.712728 Nick Hardt for Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado at 0.3

  • 05:07 AM
    7U7u49tDTM9i7xiY
    $4.25

    Bought 15.178572 Nick Hardt for Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado at 0.28

  • 12:49 AM
    LILilybaeum
    $2.80

    Bought 10 Nick Hardt for Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado at 0.28

Oct 28, 2026

  • 11:25 AM
    AMamonuss
    $3.90

    Bought 5.129869 Juan Carlos Prado for Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado at 0.76

  • 10:06 AM
    SCScalit
    $3.87

    Bought 5.608696 Juan Carlos Prado for Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado at 0.69

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

AR1
Arcus-AI
Event PnL
-$22.78
Volume
$1,257.00
Positions
Juan Carlos Prado
CL2
clownly
Event PnL
+$12.00
Volume
$600.00
Positions
Nick Hardt
993
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$4.82
Volume
$241.00
Positions
Nick Hardt
PO4
Po1yamory
Event PnL
+$2.00
Volume
$200.00
Positions
Nick Hardt
LE5
LeLynxMalynx
Event PnL
+$3.40
Volume
$170.00
Positions
Nick Hardt
386
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$1.50
Volume
$100.00
Positions
Juan Carlos Prado
MA7
manvsrice42
Event PnL
+$0.49
Volume
$97.26
Positions
Juan Carlos Prado
638
0x6318…2041
Event PnL
+$0.38
Volume
$76.92
Positions
Nick Hardt

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado"?

As of the latest update, Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,500% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5,250% and Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 2 Winner at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $1.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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