
US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,450% chance of winning. US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 36.5 follows in second place at 7,400%, while US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 3.5 sits in third with 6,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $168.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 36.5 (7,400%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 36.5 maintains a 7,400% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,400¢.
- US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (6,500%): Sitting in third place with a 6,500% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 3.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Game Spread +/-0.5 (5,650%), US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,600%), and US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 38.5 (5,250%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Completed Match are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 7450.0% | — | 7450¢ | -7350¢ |
| 2 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 36.5 | 7400.0% | — | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 6500.0% | $100 | 6500¢ | -6400¢ |
| 4 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Game Spread +/-0.5 | 5650.0% | — | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 5 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 5600.0% | — | 5600¢ | -5500¢ |
| 6 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 38.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 7 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 Winner | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 Winner | 4650.0% | $2 | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 19 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 40.5 | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 20 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 Winner | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 21 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 Winner | 4350.0% | — | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 22 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4300.0% | $503 | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 23 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse | 3950.0% | $168.7K | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 24 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 25 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 26 | US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 2000.0% | — | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Marcos Giron and Ignacio Buse in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Marcos Giron' if Marcos Giron advances against Ignacio Buse.
This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Marcos Giron.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 1, 2026
- 08:51 PMMAManifesting88$20.00
Bought 48.780486 Marcos Giron for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.41
- 08:50 PMSUsuvcss01$10.00
Bought 16.666665 Ignacio Buse for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.6
- 08:50 PM0X0x30B22bD7DcC1a18A3e67155Ec16486CB6Ad48DB0-1786543190321$20.00
Bought 48.780486 Marcos Giron for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.41
- 08:48 PMNEneutralwave23$234.61
Bought 391.016665 Ignacio Buse for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.6
- 08:43 PMNEneutralwave23$265.33
Bought 442.216665 Ignacio Buse for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.6
- 08:38 PMNEneutralwave23$265.33
Bought 442.216665 Ignacio Buse for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.6
- 08:34 PM——$3.17
Bought 5.283332 Ignacio Buse for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.6
- 08:34 PM——$13.70
Bought 22.833332 Ignacio Buse for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.6
- 08:34 PM0X0x30B22bD7DcC1a18A3e67155Ec16486CB6Ad48DB0-1786543190321$20.00
Bought 48.780486 Marcos Giron for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.41
- 08:27 PMDADapor$1.00
Bought 1.666665 Ignacio Buse for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.6
- 08:27 PMMEMelon91$200.00
Bought 333.333332 Ignacio Buse for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.6
- 08:25 PMUSUser3294783278$5.00
Bought 8.333332 Ignacio Buse for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.6
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse"?
As of the latest update, US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,450% win probability, followed by US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 36.5 at 7,400% and US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 3.5 at 6,500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $168.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
