US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse

$168.9K Vol
Sep 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Ignacio Buse 60.5%
Marcos Giron 39.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,450% chance of winning. US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 36.5 follows in second place at 7,400%, while US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 3.5 sits in third with 6,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $168.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 36.5 (7,400%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 36.5 maintains a 7,400% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,400¢.
  • US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (6,500%): Sitting in third place with a 6,500% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 3.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Game Spread +/-0.5 (5,650%), US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,600%), and US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 38.5 (5,250%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Completed Match are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 8.57450.0%7450¢-7350¢
2US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 36.57400.0%7400¢-7300¢
3US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 3.56500.0%$1006500¢-6400¢
4US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Game Spread +/-0.55650.0%5650¢-5550¢
5US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 9.55600.0%5600¢-5500¢
6US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 38.55250.0%5250¢-5150¢
7Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 Winner4650.0%$24650¢-4550¢
19US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 40.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
20US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 Winner4450.0%4450¢-4350¢
21US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 Winner4350.0%4350¢-4250¢
22US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-1.54300.0%$5034300¢-4200¢
23US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse3950.0%$168.7K3950¢-3850¢
24US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 10.53200.0%3200¢-3100¢
25US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 4.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
26US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-2.52000.0%2000¢-1900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marcos Giron and Ignacio Buse in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Marcos Giron' if Marcos Giron advances against Ignacio Buse.

This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Marcos Giron.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 1, 2026

  • 08:51 PM
    MAManifesting88
    $20.00

    Bought 48.780486 Marcos Giron for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.41

  • 08:50 PM
    SUsuvcss01
    $10.00

    Bought 16.666665 Ignacio Buse for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.6

  • 08:50 PM
    0X0x30B22bD7DcC1a18A3e67155Ec16486CB6Ad48DB0-1786543190321
    $20.00

    Bought 48.780486 Marcos Giron for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.41

  • 08:48 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $234.61

    Bought 391.016665 Ignacio Buse for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.6

  • 08:43 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $265.33

    Bought 442.216665 Ignacio Buse for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.6

  • 08:38 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $265.33

    Bought 442.216665 Ignacio Buse for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.6

  • 08:34 PM
    $3.17

    Bought 5.283332 Ignacio Buse for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.6

  • 08:34 PM
    $13.70

    Bought 22.833332 Ignacio Buse for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.6

  • 08:34 PM
    0X0x30B22bD7DcC1a18A3e67155Ec16486CB6Ad48DB0-1786543190321
    $20.00

    Bought 48.780486 Marcos Giron for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.41

  • 08:27 PM
    DADapor
    $1.00

    Bought 1.666665 Ignacio Buse for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.6

  • 08:27 PM
    MEMelon91
    $200.00

    Bought 333.333332 Ignacio Buse for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.6

  • 08:25 PM
    USUser3294783278
    $5.00

    Bought 8.333332 Ignacio Buse for US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse at 0.6

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

AV1
AV23IUa
Event PnL
+$21.86
Volume
$99,999.96
Positions
Ignacio Buse
072
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
-$23.03
Volume
$42,173.98
Positions
Marcos Giron
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$149.41
Volume
$29,882.30
Positions
Marcos Giron
DE4
degenfren
Event PnL
+$56.91
Volume
$19,792.73
Positions
Ignacio Buse
NI5
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$65.66
Volume
$13,217.00
Positions
Marcos Giron
BA6
Bagwell306
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Marcos Giron
IA7
IAmHomelessNow
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Ignacio Buse
SE8
sentrio
Event PnL
-$0.81
Volume
$5,995.21
Positions
Marcos Giron

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse"?

As of the latest update, US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,450% win probability, followed by US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 36.5 at 7,400% and US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 3.5 at 6,500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $168.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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