Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Angie Nixon (D) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 4,250% chance of winning. Ashley Moody (R) follows in second place at 4,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• Angie Nixon (D) (4,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Angie Nixon (D) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 4,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• Ashley Moody (R) (4,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Ashley Moody (R) maintains a 4,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,250¢.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.