St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur

$379.4K Vol
Sep 29, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Murphy Cassone 56.5%
Clement Tabur 43.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,800% chance of winning. St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur follows in second place at 5,650%, while St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur Set 2 Winner sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $379.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (7,800%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,800¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $4.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur (5,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur maintains a 5,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,650¢.
  • St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur Set 2 Winner (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur Set 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%), St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%), and St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur Set 2 O/U 10.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match7800.0%$4.2K7800¢-7700¢
2St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur5650.0%$374.9K5650¢-5550¢
3St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur Set 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur Match O/U 21.55000.0%$5675000¢-4900¢
9St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur Match O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur Match O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%$565000¢-4900¢
12St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur Game Spread +/-0.55000.0%$45000¢-4900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Murphy Cassone and Clement Tabur in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Murphy Cassone' if Murphy Cassone advances against Clement Tabur.

This market will resolve to 'Clement Tabur' if Clement Tabur advances against Murphy Cassone.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 22, 2026

  • 11:14 AM
    DADarkMagician0700
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur at 0.5

  • 11:14 AM
    WQwqeewqeadawfawfwa
    $3.37

    Sold 6.88 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur at 0.49

  • 10:37 AM
    BEbetfun...
    $10.20

    Bought 20 Clement Tabur for St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur at 0.51

  • 10:32 AM
    DVdv-pm
    $710.50

    Bought 1450 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur at 0.49

  • 10:30 AM
    RERealTraderx
    $10.00

    Bought 20.408164 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur at 0.49

  • 10:30 AM
    $33.58

    Bought 68.530613 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur at 0.49

  • 10:28 AM
    -K-kest-
    $19.89

    Bought 40.591837 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur at 0.49

  • 10:26 AM
    $23.02

    Bought 46.979592 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur at 0.49

  • 10:26 AM
    KEKeep.Gambling
    $97.02

    Bought 198 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur at 0.49

  • 10:25 AM
    $183.02

    Bought 381.291667 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur at 0.48

  • 10:25 AM
    CICip106
    $22.20

    Bought 46.25 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur at 0.48

  • 10:25 AM
    $13.33

    Bought 27.770834 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur at 0.48

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CA1
0xCa4e…4511
Event PnL
-$22.53
Volume
$5,967.23
Positions
Clement Tabur
CA2
Carlos10
Event PnL
-$88.00
Volume
$5,654.34
Positions
Clement Tabur
993
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$3.72
Volume
$3,215.99
Positions
Murphy Cassone
KN4
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
+$10.00
Volume
$2,000.00
Positions
Murphy Cassone
385
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$7.57
Volume
$1,746.80
Positions
Clement Tabur
DV6
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$7.25
Volume
$1,450.00
Positions
Murphy Cassone
GC7
GC-P
Event PnL
+$16.02
Volume
$1,068.00
Positions
Murphy Cassone
AV8
avo-edge
Event PnL
+$5.31
Volume
$1,062.00
Positions
Murphy Cassone

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,800% win probability, followed by St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur at 5,650% and St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur Set 2 Winner at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $379.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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