ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc(ZTO)の株式分析

$20.360

-0.305 (-1.50%)終値時点

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高値
20.660
始値
20.660
出来高加重平均価格
20.42
出来高
2.35M
時価総額
16.84B
安値
20.235
売買代金
47.98M
EV/EBITDA(TTM)
1.59

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a holding company that provides express delivery services and other value-added logistics services through a nationwide network. The express delivery services mainly include parcel sorting and route transportation. The Company provides express delivery services directly to corporate customers, including vertical e-commerce and traditional merchants, as well as delivering products to end consumers. The Company also provides freight forwarding services.

zto.investorroom.com

AI分析 of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

中立

ZTO Express is currently priced at $20.15, which is below the recent analyst price target of $22, indicating potential upside. However, the RSI is at 69.89, suggesting it is nearing overbought territory. The company has shown a strong year-over-year revenue growth of 22% and a solid gross margin of 25.66% in the latest quarter, but it faces risks such as a downgrade in parcel volume guidance to 6%-10% year-over-year and a sector-wide shift to quality over quantity. Given these factors, it may be prudent to hold rather than buy at this time.

アナリスト評価(15)

買い
13 買い
0 中立
2 売り
現在: 20.36
安値
—
平均
—
高値
—

JPMorgan

2026-09-02

目標株価

$22

中立

Macquarie

2026-07-08

目標株価

—

アウトパフォーム

BofA

2026-05-27

目標株価

$27

中立

Morgan Stanley

2026-05-20

目標株価

—

オーバーウェイト

Daiwa

2026-03-18

目標株価

—

アウトパフォーム

バリュエーション指標

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc(ZTO)の現在の予想PERは9.38で、5年平均は14.93です。

予想PER

割安
5年平均 P/E
14.93
現在のP/E
9.38
割高
18.97
割安
10.90

予想EV/EBITDA

割安
5年平均 EV/EBITDA
7.93
現在のEV/EBITDA
1.59
割高
11.39
割安
4.47

予想PSR

割安
5年平均 P/S
2.65
現在のP/S
0.25
割高
3.86
割安
1.44

Alphio AI による ZTO の価格シナリオ

シナリオ価格は本年の最終月次予想レンジです。確率はモデルの固定ウェイト(25 / 50 / 25)であり、保証ではありません。

強

強気

強気 · 25%ZTO

$21.48

シナリオ価格

基

基本

基本 · 50%ZTO

$20.89

シナリオ価格

弱

弱気

弱気 · 25%ZTO

$17.84

シナリオ価格

ZTO を保有するクジラ

E

Essence Fund Management Co., Ltd

+ を保有ZTOONC

+0.41%

3か月リターン

S

Shanghai Orient Securities Asset Management Co., Ltd.

+ を保有ZTOBABA

-9.76%

3か月リターン

R

Ruiyuan Fund Management Company, LTD

+ を保有ZTOBABA

-12.58%

3か月リターン

A

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

+ を保有ZTO

-14.05%

3か月リターン

イベントタイムライン

2026-09-21 (ET)

10:30:00

ZTO Express Shares Down 7.5% to $19.39

2026-05-19 (ET)

18:10:00

ZTO Reports Q1 Revenue Exceeds Expectations at RMB 13.282 Billion

18:10:00

ZTO Reports Q1 Revenue of $1.93B, Up 22% YoY

2026-02-04 (ET)

08:30:00

ZTO Express Proposes Offering of $1.5B in Convertible Notes

05:20:00

Company Sees FY25 Gross Profit of RMB 12.15B to RMB 12.55B

ニュース

ZTO のよくある質問 — Alphio AI が回答

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a holding company that provides express delivery services and other value-added logistics services through a nationwide network. The express delivery services mainly include parcel sorting and route transportation. The Company provides express delivery services directly to corporate customers, including vertical e-commerce and traditional merchants, as well as delivering products to end consumers. The Company also provides freight forwarding services. It operates in the Industrials sector.

ZTO Express is currently priced at $20.15, which is below the recent analyst price target of $22, indicating potential upside. However, the RSI is at 69.89, suggesting it is nearing overbought territory. The company has shown a strong year-over-year revenue growth of 22% and a solid gross margin of 25.66% in the latest quarter, but it faces risks such as a downgrade in parcel volume guidance to 6%-10% year-over-year and a sector-wide shift to quality over quantity. Given these factors, it may be prudent to hold rather than buy at this time.

15 analysts cover ZTO: 13 rate it Buy, 0 Hold and 2 Sell.

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