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alpha-finder

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Alpha Finder is an AI-powered Market Oracle that researches prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi) and traditional sources to produce probability assessments, sentiment, event analysis, and arbitrage leads.

Alpha Finder is an AI-powered Market Oracle that researches prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi) and traditional sources to produce probability assessments, sentiment, event analysis, and arbitrage leads. It performs multi-source intelligence across web, GitHub, Reddit, and X, consolidating odds, market depth, and historical signals into actionable insights. Typical use cases: evaluating Bitcoin 100k probabilities, identifying arbitrage across election markets, tracking AI-development predictions, and assessing climate-policy market sentiment. It handles payment via the x402 protocol ($0.03 USDC per request on Base) and requires a private key configured via env var or x402-config.json. Run scripts/analyze.sh with a query to receive AI-processed market intelligence, probability estimates, trade triggers, and ranked opportunities for traders, researchers, and risk managers.

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Alpha Finder (Market Oracle)

Research prediction markets and find alpha using AI-powered market intelligence across Polymarket, Kalshi, and traditional sources.

Configuration

The private key must be available via one of these methods:

Option 1: Environment variable

export X402_PRIVATE_KEY="0x..."

Option 2: Config file (Recommended)

The script checks for x402-config.json in these locations (in order):

Current directory: ./x402-config.json
Home directory: ~/.x402-config.json ← Recommended
Working directory: $PWD/x402-config.json

Create the config file:

{
  "private_key": "0x1234567890abcdef..."
}

Example (home directory - works for any user):

echo '{"private_key": "0x..."}' > ~/.x402-config.json

Usage

Run the market research script with a query about prediction markets or events:

scripts/analyze.sh "<market query>"

The script:

Executes market intelligence research with payment handling
Costs $0.03 USDC per request (Base network)
Searches web, GitHub, Reddit, and X for comprehensive analysis
Returns AI-processed market insights and probability assessments

Examples

User: "What are the odds for Bitcoin hitting $100k?"

scripts/analyze.sh "Bitcoin 100k prediction market odds"

User: "Find arbitrage opportunities in election markets"

scripts/analyze.sh "2024 election prediction market arbitrage"

User: "Analyze Polymarket odds on AI developments"

scripts/analyze.sh "Polymarket AI development predictions"

User: "What's the market sentiment on climate policy outcomes?"

scripts/analyze.sh "climate policy prediction markets Kalshi Polymarket"

Capabilities

Polymarket research - Event analysis and odds tracking
Kalshi market analysis - Regulated prediction market insights
Multi-source intelligence - Searches web, GitHub, Reddit, and X
Probability assessments - AI-powered market sentiment analysis
Arbitrage identification - Spot inefficiencies across markets
Event research - Deep dive into specific prediction market events
Historical tracking - Compare current odds to historical patterns

Data Sources

The tool automatically searches across:

Polymarket events and odds
Kalshi regulated markets
Reddit discussions and sentiment
X/Twitter market commentary
GitHub repositories (for tech-related predictions)
Web sources for news and analysis

Error Handling

"Payment failed: Not enough USDC" → Inform user to top up Base wallet with USDC
"X402 private key missing" → Guide user to configure private key (see Configuration above)
Timeout errors → The API has a 5-minute timeout; comprehensive research may take time