Simply Good Foods Co

Simply Good Foods Co (SMPL) Stock Analysis

$10.720

+0.178 (+1.66%)At close

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High
10.740
Open
10.540
VWAP
10.64
Volume
1.70M
Mkt Cap
3.57B
Low
10.460
Amount
18.10M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
6.44

The Simply Good Foods Company is a consumer-packaged food and beverage company. The Company, within its portfolio of brands Quest, Atkins, and OWYN, offers a variety of nutritional snacks and beverages, including high-protein chips, bars, ready-to-drink (RTD) shakes, and powders, as well as low-sugar, low-carb sweets and baked goods. Its nutritious snacking platform consists of brands that specialize in providing products for consumers that follow certain nutritional philosophies and health-and-wellness trends: Quest for consumers seeking a variety of protein-rich foods and beverages that also limit sugars and simple carbohydrates, Atkins for those following a low-carbohydrate lifestyle or seeking to manage weight or blood sugar levels, and OWYN for consumers seeking protein-rich beverages that are plant-based and tested for the allergens that also limit sugars and simple carbohydrates. It distributes its products to major retail channels, primarily in North America.

AI analysis of Simply Good Foods Co (SMPL)

Sell

Simply Good Foods Co is not a good buy right now due to significant financial challenges and negative market sentiment. The current price is $10.18, and the company has a forward P/E of 6.23, suggesting potential undervaluation, but this is overshadowed by a 57.79% decline over the past year and a concerning net loss of nearly $52 million in Q3 2026. Additionally, four out of six analysts have bearish views, with one lowering the price target from $39 to $14, highlighting serious concerns about the company's future performance.

Analyst Ratings (3)

+154.20% upside
Buy
3 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 10.72
Low
22.00
Average
27.25
High
35.00

Jefferies

2026-08-26

Price Target

$15

Buy

TD Cowen

2026-08-26

Price Target

$11

Hold

Bernstein

2026-06-03

Price Target

$12

Market Perform

UBS

2026-06-02

Price Target

$12

Neutral

Mizuho

2026-05-04

Price Target

$19

Outperform

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Simply Good Foods Co (SMPL) is 6.23, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 18.26.

Forward P/E

Undervalued
5Y Average P/E
18.26
Current P/E
6.23
Overvalued
24.28
Undervalued
12.23

Forward EV/EBITDA

Strongly Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
13.51
Current EV/EBITDA
6.44
Overvalued
17.00
Undervalued
10.02

Forward P/S

Strongly Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
2.35
Current P/S
0.74
Overvalued
3.13
Undervalued
1.58

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for SMPL

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%SMPL

$45.81

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%SMPL

$44.60

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%SMPL

$42.15

Scenario price

Whales holding SMPL

S

Shapiro Capital Management LLC

+ HoldingSMPL

-9.29%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-07-09 (ET)

16:30:00

Major Averages Rebound as Oil Prices Retreat

12:30:00

Major Averages Rebound as Oil Prices Retreat, Boosting Market Sentiment

09:31:00

U.S. Stock Futures Modestly Higher, Nasdaq Futures Lead Rebound

07:30:00

Simply Good Foods Adjusts FY26 EBITDA Outlook to $220M-$225M

07:30:00

Seres Q4 Adjusted EBITDA Outlook $52M-$57M

News

SMPL FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

The Simply Good Foods Company is a consumer-packaged food and beverage company. The Company, within its portfolio of brands Quest, Atkins, and OWYN, offers a variety of nutritional snacks and beverages, including high-protein chips, bars, ready-to-drink (RTD) shakes, and powders, as well as low-sugar, low-carb sweets and baked goods. Its nutritious snacking platform consists of brands that specialize in providing products for consumers that follow certain nutritional philosophies and health-and-wellness trends: Quest for consumers seeking a variety of protein-rich foods and beverages that also limit sugars and simple carbohydrates, Atkins for those following a low-carbohydrate lifestyle or seeking to manage weight or blood sugar levels, and OWYN for consumers seeking protein-rich beverages that are plant-based and tested for the allergens that also limit sugars and simple carbohydrates. It distributes its products to major retail channels, primarily in North America. It operates in the Consumer Non-Cyclicals sector (FOOD AND KINDRED PRODUCTS industry).

Simply Good Foods Co is not a good buy right now due to significant financial challenges and negative market sentiment. The current price is $10.18, and the company has a forward P/E of 6.23, suggesting potential undervaluation, but this is overshadowed by a 57.79% decline over the past year and a concerning net loss of nearly $52 million in Q3 2026. Additionally, four out of six analysts have bearish views, with one lowering the price target from $39 to $14, highlighting serious concerns about the company's future performance.

3 analysts cover SMPL: 3 rate it Buy, 0 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 27.25.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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