NAPCO Security Technologies Inc

NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC) Stock Analysis

$35.020

-1.124 (-3.21%)At close

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High
35.900
Open
35.710
VWAP
35.19
Volume
265.32K
Mkt Cap
1.91B
Low
34.650
Amount
9.34M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
14.88

Napco Security Technologies, Inc. is a manufacturer and designer of high-tech electronic security devices, cellular communication services for intrusion and fire alarm systems, as well as a provider of school safety solutions. It offers a diversified array of security products, encompassing access control systems, door-locking products, intrusion and fire alarm systems and video surveillance products. These products are used for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial and governmental applications, and are sold to independent distributors, dealers and installers of security equipment. It manufactures and markets various products for alarm systems, including Automatic Communicators, Cellular communication devices, Control Panels, Combination Control Panels/Digital Communicators and Digital Keypad Systems, Fire Alarm Control Panel and Area Detectors. Its video surveillance systems typically consist of one or more video cameras, a control panel and a video monitor or PC.

AI analysis of NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC)

Buy

NSSC is a good buy right now due to its recent record revenue of $55.8 million in Q4 2026, reflecting a 10% year-over-year increase, and a solid gross margin of 61.31%. The stock is currently priced at $36.14, significantly below the analyst target of $53, indicating strong upside potential. The main risk is the recent dip in net income for Q3 2026, which was -408,000 USD, suggesting potential volatility ahead.

Analyst Ratings (2)

+38.78% upside
Buy
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 35.02
Low
47.00
Average
48.60
High
50.00

TD Cowen

2026-05-05

Price Target

$53

Buy

TD Cowen

2025-11-04

Price Target

$50

Buy

Mizuho

2025-10-17

Price Target

$48

Outperform

DA Davidson

2025-09-24

Price Target

$50

Buy

Craig-Hallum

2025-08-26

Price Target

$40

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC) is 24.69, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 30.29.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
30.29
Current P/E
24.69
Overvalued
38.74
Undervalued
21.85

Forward EV/EBITDA

Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
23.58
Current EV/EBITDA
14.88
Overvalued
28.83
Undervalued
18.33

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
6.27
Current P/S
5.44
Overvalued
7.53
Undervalued
5.02

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for NSSC

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%NSSC

$27.62

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%NSSC

$26.42

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%NSSC

$23.09

Scenario price

Whales holding NSSC

F

Fundsmith, LLP

+ HoldingNSSC

+4.42%

3M Return

C

Copeland Capital Management, LLC

+ HoldingNSSC

-7.13%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-24 (ET)

09:00:00

U.S. Stock Futures Weaker, Nasdaq Down 0.63%

07:30:00

Company Reports Q4 Revenue of $55.8M, Beating Expectations

2026-07-08 (ET)

16:30:00

NAPCO Security Technologies Executive Transition, Buchel Named CEO

2026-05-04 (ET)

07:10:00

Company Reports Q3 Revenue of $49.2M, CEO Comments on Positive Performance

2026-03-06 (ET)

17:30:00

MW Group and Blackstone Acquire Alexander & Baldwin

News

NSSC FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Napco Security Technologies, Inc. is a manufacturer and designer of high-tech electronic security devices, cellular communication services for intrusion and fire alarm systems, as well as a provider of school safety solutions. It offers a diversified array of security products, encompassing access control systems, door-locking products, intrusion and fire alarm systems and video surveillance products. These products are used for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial and governmental applications, and are sold to independent distributors, dealers and installers of security equipment. It manufactures and markets various products for alarm systems, including Automatic Communicators, Cellular communication devices, Control Panels, Combination Control Panels/Digital Communicators and Digital Keypad Systems, Fire Alarm Control Panel and Area Detectors. Its video surveillance systems typically consist of one or more video cameras, a control panel and a video monitor or PC. It operates in the Technology sector (COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT, NEC industry).

NSSC is a good buy right now due to its recent record revenue of $55.8 million in Q4 2026, reflecting a 10% year-over-year increase, and a solid gross margin of 61.31%. The stock is currently priced at $36.14, significantly below the analyst target of $53, indicating strong upside potential. The main risk is the recent dip in net income for Q3 2026, which was -408,000 USD, suggesting potential volatility ahead.

2 analysts cover NSSC: 2 rate it Buy, 0 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 48.60.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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