LGI Homes Inc

LGI Homes Inc (LGIH) Stock Analysis

$42.350

-2.749 (-6.49%)At close

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High
44.040
Open
44.040
VWAP
42.51
Volume
690.67K
Mkt Cap
2.10B
Low
41.130
Amount
29.36M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
21.40

LGI Homes, Inc. is engaged in the development of communities and the design, construction and sale of new homes. The Company’s segments include Central, Southeast, Northwest, West, and Florida. Its Central segment includes Texas, Oklahoma and Minnesota. Its Southeast segment includes Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee, North Carolina, South Carolina, West Virginia, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Virginia. Its Northwest segment includes Colorado, Washington and Oregon. Its West segment includes Arizona, New Mexico, Nevada, California and Utah. The Company offers multiple product lines, including attached and detached entry-level homes and active adult offerings that are marketed and sold under its LGI Homes brand and luxury homes that are marketed and sold under its Terrata Homes brand. Its wholesale business sells homes primarily to large institutions interested in acquiring single-family rental properties through bulk sales agreements.

AI analysis of LGI Homes Inc (LGIH)

Sell

Currently, LGI Homes Inc (LGIH) is not a good buy. The stock is trading at $43.82, which is above the analyst price target of $41 set by JPMorgan, indicating potential downside. Additionally, the stock has a low RSI of 23.90, suggesting it is oversold, but this could also indicate ongoing weakness. The company has experienced a significant 10.4% annual revenue decline over the last five years, raising concerns about its future profitability.

Analyst Ratings (6)

+59.39% upside
Hold
2 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 42.35
Low
40.00
Average
67.50
High
95.00

JPMorgan

2026-04-30

Price Target

$41

Underweight

Citizens

2026-01-07

Price Target

$95

Outperform

Citizens JMP

2025-08-27

Price Target

$85

Outperform

JPMorgan

2025-07-09

Price Target

$47

Underweight

Texas Capital

2025-06-17

Price Target

$56

Hold

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for LGI Homes Inc (LGIH) is 18.80, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 11.74.

Forward P/E

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
11.74
Current P/E
18.80
Overvalued
14.75
Undervalued
8.73

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
58.55
Current EV/EBITDA
21.40
Overvalued
245.88
Undervalued
-128.77

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
0.88
Current P/S
0.52
Overvalued
1.12
Undervalued
0.65

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for LGIH

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%LGIH

$61.64

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%LGIH

$43.87

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%LGIH

$27.68

Scenario price

Whales holding LGIH

V

Voss Capital, LP

+ HoldingLGIH

-8.34%

3M Return

A

Atlas FRM LLC

+ HoldingLGIH

-9.26%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-05 (ET)

19:00:00

LGI Homes Closes 386 Homes in September 2026, Up 9% YoY

2026-08-05 (ET)

18:00:00

LGI Homes Closes 427 Homes in July, Up 12.1%

2026-08-04 (ET)

07:30:00

Sees FY26 Average Sales Price per Home Closed at $360,000-$370,000

07:30:00

LGI Homes Q2 Revenue Exceeds Expectations at $501.51M

2026-07-06 (ET)

20:00:00

LGI Homes Closes 496 Homes in June 2026, Up 8.5%

News

LGIH FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

LGI Homes, Inc. is engaged in the development of communities and the design, construction and sale of new homes. The Company’s segments include Central, Southeast, Northwest, West, and Florida. Its Central segment includes Texas, Oklahoma and Minnesota. Its Southeast segment includes Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee, North Carolina, South Carolina, West Virginia, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Virginia. Its Northwest segment includes Colorado, Washington and Oregon. Its West segment includes Arizona, New Mexico, Nevada, California and Utah. The Company offers multiple product lines, including attached and detached entry-level homes and active adult offerings that are marketed and sold under its LGI Homes brand and luxury homes that are marketed and sold under its Terrata Homes brand. Its wholesale business sells homes primarily to large institutions interested in acquiring single-family rental properties through bulk sales agreements. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (OPERATIVE BUILDERS industry).

Currently, LGI Homes Inc (LGIH) is not a good buy. The stock is trading at $43.82, which is above the analyst price target of $41 set by JPMorgan, indicating potential downside. Additionally, the stock has a low RSI of 23.90, suggesting it is oversold, but this could also indicate ongoing weakness. The company has experienced a significant 10.4% annual revenue decline over the last five years, raising concerns about its future profitability.

6 analysts cover LGIH: 2 rate it Buy, 4 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 67.50.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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