Carlyle Secured Lending Inc

Carlyle Secured Lending Inc (CGBD) Stock Analysis

$10.380

-0.099 (-0.95%)At close

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High
10.555
Open
10.400
VWAP
10.42
Volume
516.44K
Mkt Cap
921.93M
Low
10.335
Amount
5.38M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
10.32

Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. is a specialty finance company that is a closed-end, externally managed, non-diversified management investment company. The Company's investment objective is to generate current income and capital appreciation primarily through assembling a portfolio of secured debt investments in United States middle market companies. The Company seeks to achieve its investment objective primarily through direct origination of secured debt instruments, including first lien senior secured loans (which may include stand-alone first lien loans, first lien/last out loans and unitranche loans) and second lien senior secured loans (collectively, Middle Market Senior Loans), with a minority of its assets invested in higher yielding investments (which may include unsecured debt, subordinated debt and investments in equities and structured products). The Company is externally managed by its investment adviser, Carlyle Global Credit Investment Management L.L.C.

AI analysis of Carlyle Secured Lending Inc (CGBD)

Sell

Carlyle Secured Lending Inc (CGBD) is not a good buy right now due to declining financial performance and analyst downgrades. The current price is $10.42, and the RSI is at 26.364, indicating oversold conditions. However, the forward P/E ratio is 7.8989, suggesting potential value, but the risk of a dividend cut is significant, with over a 50% chance of reduction in 2026.

Analyst Ratings (4)

+25.24% upside
Buy
4 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 10.38
Low
12.00
Average
13.00
High
14.00

Wells Fargo

2026-09-29

Price Target

$11

Equal Weight

Wells Fargo

2026-05-13

Price Target

$12

Overweight

B. Riley

2026-05-12

Price Target

$13

Buy

JPMorgan

2026-03-13

Price Target

$10

Neutral

BofA

2026-03-09

Price Target

$11

Underperform

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Carlyle Secured Lending Inc (CGBD) is 7.90, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 7.92.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
7.92
Current P/E
7.90
Overvalued
9.27
Undervalued
6.57

Forward EV/EBITDA

Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
2.12
Current EV/EBITDA
10.32
Overvalued
7.22
Undervalued
-2.98

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
3.55
Current P/S
2.81
Overvalued
4.01
Undervalued
3.09

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for CGBD

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%CGBD

$15.46

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%CGBD

$14.67

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%CGBD

$12.16

Scenario price

Whales holding CGBD

C

Choreo, LLC

+ HoldingCGBD

+3.18%

3M Return

A

Ares Management LLC

+ HoldingCGBD

-6.78%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-06 (ET)

17:30:00

CGBD Reports Q2 NAV per Share of $15.62

2026-05-11 (ET)

06:20:00

CGBD NAV per Common Share Decreases 2.3% to $15.89 in Q1

2026-02-24 (ET)

16:20:00

CGBD Reports Q4 NAV per Share of $16.26

2025-11-04 (ET)

17:00:24

Carlyle Secured Lending Posts Q3 EPS of 37c, Below Consensus Estimate of 39c

News

CGBD FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. is a specialty finance company that is a closed-end, externally managed, non-diversified management investment company. The Company's investment objective is to generate current income and capital appreciation primarily through assembling a portfolio of secured debt investments in United States middle market companies. The Company seeks to achieve its investment objective primarily through direct origination of secured debt instruments, including first lien senior secured loans (which may include stand-alone first lien loans, first lien/last out loans and unitranche loans) and second lien senior secured loans (collectively, Middle Market Senior Loans), with a minority of its assets invested in higher yielding investments (which may include unsecured debt, subordinated debt and investments in equities and structured products). The Company is externally managed by its investment adviser, Carlyle Global Credit Investment Management L.L.C. It operates in the Financials sector.

Carlyle Secured Lending Inc (CGBD) is not a good buy right now due to declining financial performance and analyst downgrades. The current price is $10.42, and the RSI is at 26.364, indicating oversold conditions. However, the forward P/E ratio is 7.8989, suggesting potential value, but the risk of a dividend cut is significant, with over a 50% chance of reduction in 2026.

4 analysts cover CGBD: 4 rate it Buy, 0 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 13.00.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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