Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI) Stock Analysis

$6.310

-0.118 (-1.87%)At close

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High
6.425
Open
6.400
VWAP
6.34
Volume
2.34M
Mkt Cap
1.41B
Low
6.290
Amount
14.83M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
0.00

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. is a real estate investment trust. The Company primarily originates, acquires, invests in and manages performing commercial first mortgage loans, subordinate financings and other commercial real estate-related debt investments. Its principal business objective is to acquire its target assets in order to provide attractive risk- adjusted returns to its stockholders over the long term, primarily through dividends and secondarily through capital appreciation. Its investment strategy is to identify opportunities within its target assets through its manager and its affiliates as well as their platform, which integrates real estate experience with private equity and capital markets in transaction sourcing, underwriting, execution, asset operation, management and disposition. It targets assets that are secured by real estate throughout the United States and Europe. The Company is externally managed and advised by ACREFI Management, LLC.

AI analysis of Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI)

Buy

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI) is a good buy right now at a current price of $6.24, especially considering its low forward P/E of 15.528 and a gross margin of 90.38% in Q1 2026. The stock is currently trading near its 52-week low of $6.36, suggesting a potential rebound opportunity. However, the main risk is its recent performance, with a year-to-date change of -36.71%.

Analyst Ratings (6)

+70.36% upside
Hold
1 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 6.31
Low
9.50
Average
10.75
High
12.00

Keefe Bruyette

2026-07-16

Price Target

—

Outperform

BTIG

2026-06-25

Price Target

—

Neutral

BofA

2026-06-17

Price Target

—

No Rating

BofA

2026-05-05

Price Target

$11.50

Neutral

Keefe Bruyette

2026-02-12

Price Target

—

Outperform

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI) is 15.53, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 10.55.

Forward P/E

Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
10.55
Current P/E
15.53
Overvalued
13.24
Undervalued
7.85

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
30.64
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued
148.37
Undervalued
-87.09

Forward P/S

Strongly Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
6.85
Current P/S
0.00
Overvalued
8.38
Undervalued
5.33

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for ARI

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%ARI

$9.07

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%ARI

$7.15

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%ARI

$5.56

Scenario price

Whales holding ARI

A

Azora Capital LP

+ HoldingARI

-4.49%

3M Return

Q

Qatar Holding LLC

+ HoldingARI

-9.36%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-10 (ET)

17:30:00

Apollo Commercial Reports Q2 Distributable EPS of 15c, Beating Consensus of 11c

2026-06-23 (ET)

17:30:00

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Announces Ongoing Liquidation Activities

2026-06-15 (ET)

17:00:00

ARI Board Decides to Dissolve Company and Liquidate Assets

2026-04-28 (ET)

17:00:00

Apollo Commercial Reports No Realized Losses in Q1

2026-02-10 (ET)

16:30:00

Company Reports Q4 2025 Net Income of $0.18 per Share

News

ARI FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. is a real estate investment trust. The Company primarily originates, acquires, invests in and manages performing commercial first mortgage loans, subordinate financings and other commercial real estate-related debt investments. Its principal business objective is to acquire its target assets in order to provide attractive risk- adjusted returns to its stockholders over the long term, primarily through dividends and secondarily through capital appreciation. Its investment strategy is to identify opportunities within its target assets through its manager and its affiliates as well as their platform, which integrates real estate experience with private equity and capital markets in transaction sourcing, underwriting, execution, asset operation, management and disposition. It targets assets that are secured by real estate throughout the United States and Europe. The Company is externally managed and advised by ACREFI Management, LLC. It operates in the Real Estate sector (REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS industry).

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI) is a good buy right now at a current price of $6.24, especially considering its low forward P/E of 15.528 and a gross margin of 90.38% in Q1 2026. The stock is currently trading near its 52-week low of $6.36, suggesting a potential rebound opportunity. However, the main risk is its recent performance, with a year-to-date change of -36.71%.

6 analysts cover ARI: 1 rate it Buy, 5 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 10.75.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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