Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A

$757.2K Vol
2026年9月30日
Active
機率趨勢
100 Thieves 90.5%
FUT Esports 9.5%

核心摘要

根據「Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Match Winner 以壓倒性的 9,350% 獲勝機率主導市場;Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 以 9,050% 位居第二,Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) 以 8,400% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $757.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Match Winner (9,350%):Match Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,350¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $294.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 (9,050%):作為最可行的替代選項,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 保持著 9,050% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,050¢。
  • Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) (8,400%):以 8,400% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Map 2 Winner (7,650%)、Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) (5,000%),以及 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Match Winner9350.0%$294.6K9350¢-9250¢
2Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
3Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)8400.0%$106.0K8400¢-8300¢
4Map 2 Winner7650.0%$104.6K7650¢-7550¢
5Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)5000.0%$1.3K5000¢-4900¢
6Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55000.0%$245000¢-4900¢
12Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)5000.0%$4935000¢-4900¢
17O/U 2.5 Games2300.0%$9642300¢-2200¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between 100 Thieves and FUT Esports in the VCT Champions Group A, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against FUT Esports.

This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against 100 Thieves.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 30, 2026

  • 11:35 AM
    KOkoxma1
    $4.76

    Bought 8.35 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.57

  • 11:34 AM
    BRbrownieboy222
    $77.12

    Bought 164.085107 100 Thieves for Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 11:33 AM
    SASAKAMOTO322
    $4.50

    Bought 9.574469 100 Thieves for Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 11:32 AM
    ZEzegy22
    $200.00

    Bought 425.531915 100 Thieves for Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 11:32 AM
    NInikon73
    $1.31

    Bought 2.425926 FUT Esports for Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) at 0.54

  • 11:32 AM
    MAMASTERMlND
    $108.00

    Bought 200 FUT Esports for Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) at 0.54

  • 11:32 AM
    MAMASTERMlND
    $52.00

    Bought 200 FUT Esports for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A at 0.26

  • 11:32 AM
    APapink5
    $2.60

    Bought 10 FUT Esports for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A at 0.26

  • 11:32 AM
    IWiWasEnough
    $2.70

    Bought 5 FUT Esports for Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) at 0.54

  • 11:32 AM
    5050STREAM
    $50.00

    Bought 106.382979 100 Thieves for Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 11:32 AM
    ——
    $245.02

    Bought 326.693332 100 Thieves for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A at 0.75

  • 11:31 AM
    ABabobus2000
    $9.72

    Bought 18 FUT Esports for Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) at 0.54

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

GR1
gregbeast
事件損益
-$99.98
成交量
$9,999.98
持倉數
FUT Esports
ME2
MeiGuNiuBi
事件損益
-$8.82
成交量
$8,214.07
持倉數
100 Thieves
VI3
vibing123
事件損益
+$112.50
成交量
$7,499.98
持倉數
100 Thieves
TH4
THEHIGHLIFE
事件損益
+$45.94
成交量
$7,172.25
持倉數
FUT EsportsFUT Esports
9E5
0x9ede…7168
事件損益
-$20.96
成交量
$4,923.96
持倉數
100 Thieves
WI6
Wiretransferxyz
事件損益
+$2.07
成交量
$4,056.10
持倉數
100 Thieves
SI7
SimpleTony
事件損益
+$1.71
成交量
$3,499.86
持倉數
FUT Esports
NI8
nigiri99
事件損益
-$10.12
成交量
$2,438.00
持倉數
100 ThievesFUT Esports

常見問題

目前市場對「Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 9,350% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5(9,050%),以及 Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)(8,400%)。該市場總成交量已達 $757.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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