LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

$106.7K Vol
2026年10月15日
Active
機率趨勢
HANJIN BRION 54.5%
Team WE 45.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 3.5 Games 以壓倒性的 7,650% 獲勝機率主導市場;Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 以 5,500% 位居第二,First Blood in Game 3? 以 5,500% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $106.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,650%):O/U 3.5 Games 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,650¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $3.4K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (5,500%):作為最可行的替代選項,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 保持著 5,500% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,500¢。
  • First Blood in Game 3? (5,500%):以 5,500% 的機率位列第三,市場對 First Blood in Game 3? 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (5,450%)、First Blood in Game 1? (5,150%),以及 First Blood in Game 2? (5,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 First Blood in Game 4? 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 3.5 Games7650.0%$3.4K7650¢-7550¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5500.0%$35500¢-5400¢
3First Blood in Game 3?5500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
5First Blood in Game 1?5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
6First Blood in Game 2?5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
7First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8First Blood in Game 5?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
35Odd/Even Total Kills4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
36Odd/Even Total Kills4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
37Game 3 Winner4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
38Odd/Even Total Kills4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
39Game 1 Winner4750.0%$1.0K4750¢-4650¢
40Game 2 Winner4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
41Odd/Even Total Kills4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
42Match Winner4550.0%$99.3K4550¢-4450¢
43Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?4400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
44Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?4350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
45Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
46Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?4250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
47Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
48Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?4000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
49Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?3850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
50Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 5?3800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
51Game 4 Winner3750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
52O/U 4.5 Games3600.0%$183600¢-3500¢
53Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)3350.0%$2.5K3350¢-3250¢
54Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)2900.0%$3.3K2900¢-2800¢
55Game Handicap: BRO (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)1550.0%$7741550¢-1450¢
56Game Handicap: WE (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5)1150.0%$5601150¢-1050¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 2 match between Team WE and HANJIN BRION in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against HANJIN BRION.

This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against Team WE.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 14, 2026

  • 01:15 PM
    UUuuk888
    $10.00

    Bought 18.518519 HANJIN BRION for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner at 0.54

  • 01:14 PM
    STst3rl0
    $40.00

    Bought 72.727273 HANJIN BRION for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.55

  • 01:14 PM
    UUuuk888
    $10.00

    Bought 18.181817 HANJIN BRION for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.55

  • 01:13 PM
    YFyfj
    $1.00

    Bought 2.173914 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.46

  • 01:13 PM
    SUsuntori
    $238.09

    Bought 432.890908 HANJIN BRION for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.55

  • 01:12 PM
    SHSherryking
    $43.20

    Bought 80 HANJIN BRION for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner at 0.54

  • 01:10 PM
    HAHardworkingLRZ
    $10.00

    Bought 18.181817 HANJIN BRION for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.55

  • 01:04 PM
    PUpuddinging
    $4.39

    Bought 9.543479 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.46

  • 01:01 PM
    YUyutingren
    $1.00

    Bought 3.333334 Team WE for Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) at 0.3

  • 12:59 PM
    SUsuntori
    $285.71

    Bought 519.472728 HANJIN BRION for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.55

  • 12:57 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $171.42

    Bought 372.652174 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.46

  • 12:54 PM
    LEleaguemom
    $121.00

    Bought 220 HANJIN BRION for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.55

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

9E1
0x9e3e…9396
事件損益
+$5.40
成交量
$16,039.93
持倉數
Team WE
VI2
vibing123
事件損益
+$359.03
成交量
$12,052.52
持倉數
HANJIN BRION
EB3
EbatorVagin228
事件損益
-$151.99
成交量
$9,599.96
持倉數
Team WE
DE4
delacsynzy1
事件損益
-$29.53
成交量
$8,753.12
持倉數
HANJIN BRION
7V5
7ViziCapitale
事件損益
+$119.74
成交量
$7,982.57
持倉數
HANJIN BRION
0X6
0x0x23…h8c9
事件損益
+$33.33
成交量
$6,666.66
持倉數
Team WE
DR7
drunkdegenerate
事件損益
+$164.75
成交量
$6,590.00
持倉數
HANJIN BRION
HU8
humbleboy
事件損益
+$90.00
成交量
$5,999.96
持倉數
HANJIN BRION

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 3.5 Games 以 7,650% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?(5,500%),以及 First Blood in Game 3?(5,500%)。該市場總成交量已達 $106.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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