LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage

$240.8K Vol
2026年10月1日
Active
機率趨勢
Team Phantasma 100.0%
Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game 2 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Match Winner 以 9,995% 位居第二,O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $240.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):Game 2 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $58.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Match Winner (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Match Winner 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 2.5 Games 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Odd/Even Total Kills (9,995%)、Any Player Quadra Kill (9,950%),以及 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (950%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$58.8K9995¢-9895¢
2Match Winner9995.0%$108.4K9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$9739995¢-9895¢
4Odd/Even Total Kills9995.0%$739995¢-9895¢
5Any Player Quadra Kill9950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%—950¢-850¢
7Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%—950¢-850¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
9Any Player Penta Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%—950¢-850¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%—950¢-850¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%—50¢50¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon50.0%—50¢50¢
14Any Player Penta Kill50.0%—50¢50¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%—50¢50¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon50.0%—50¢50¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%—50¢50¢
18Any Player Penta Kill50.0%—50¢50¢
19Game 1 Winner5.0%$71.7K5¢95¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills5.0%$735¢95¢
21Game Handicap: TP (-1.5) vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (+1.5)5.0%$7435¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Round 5 match between Team Phantasma and Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports in the EMEA Masters Swiss Stage, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Phantasma" if Team Phantasma win the match against Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports.

This market will resolve to "Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports" if Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports win the match against Team Phantasma.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 30, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 30, 2026

  • 01:14 PM
    KAkantesher
    $17.83

    Bought 34.960785 Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.51

  • 01:03 PM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $2.55

    Bought 5 Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.51

  • 01:03 PM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $2.55

    Bought 5 Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.51

  • 12:57 PM
    JTJtiz
    $2.55

    Bought 5 Team Phantasma for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.51

  • 12:45 PM
    GOGordon-Gekko
    $5.10

    Bought 10 Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.51

  • 12:43 PM
    VAvadvolk77713
    $21.24

    Bought 41.647059 Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.51

  • 12:43 PM
    KAkantesher
    $9.46

    Bought 18.55 Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.51

  • 12:42 PM
    BYBYTasb1
    $229.20

    Bought 449.411765 Team Phantasma for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.51

  • 12:41 PM
    BYBYTasb1
    $229.00

    Bought 458 Team Phantasma for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.5

  • 12:40 PM
    BYBYTasb1
    $220.35

    Bought 440.7 Team Phantasma for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.5

  • 12:40 PM
    VAvadvolk77713
    $21.33

    Bought 41.817885 Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.51

  • 12:39 PM
    KAkantesher
    $27.37

    Bought 53.666667 Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.51

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

SH1
shrimex891
事件損益
+$6.66
成交量
$13,099.36
持倉數
Team Phantasma
692
0x6918…0027
事件損益
+$126.12
成交量
$12,092.31
持倉數
Gamespace Mediterranean College EsportsGamespace Mediterranean College EsportsGamespace Mediterranean College Esports
PE3
PendulumExchange
事件損益
-$4,995.00
成交量
$10,000.00
持倉數
Team Phantasma
DE4
degenofweb3
事件損益
+$3.99
成交量
$7,835.58
持倉數
Gamespace Mediterranean College EsportsTeam Phantasma
NE5
newwman
事件損益
-$923.44
成交量
$7,827.18
持倉數
Gamespace Mediterranean College EsportsGamespace Mediterranean College EsportsGamespace Mediterranean College Esports
046
0x048f…9992
事件損益
-$17.25
成交量
$7,499.99
持倉數
Gamespace Mediterranean College EsportsTeam PhantasmaGamespace Mediterranean College Esports
DE7
delacsynzy1
事件損益
+$897.90
成交量
$7,137.23
持倉數
Team PhantasmaTeam Phantasma
IN8
InAirdropWeTrust
事件損益
-$1,130.71
成交量
$6,492.94
持倉數
Gamespace Mediterranean College EsportsGamespace Mediterranean College EsportsGamespace Mediterranean College Esports

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Match Winner(9,995%),以及 O/U 2.5 Games(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $240.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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