
LALIGA: 2026-27 Team Points
核心摘要
根據「LALIGA: 2026-27 Team Points」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Barcelona 93+ 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Real Madrid 89+ 以 5,000% 位居第二,Atlético Madrid 75+ 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Barcelona 93+ (5,000%):Barcelona 93+ 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Real Madrid 89+ (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Real Madrid 89+ 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
- Atlético Madrid 75+ (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Atlético Madrid 75+ 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Betis 63+ (5,000%)、Athletic Bilbao 62+ (5,000%),以及 Villarreal 56+ (5,000%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Real Sociedad 54+ 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona 93+ | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Real Madrid 89+ | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Atlético Madrid 75+ | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Betis 63+ | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao 62+ | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Villarreal 56+ | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Real Sociedad 54+ | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Sevilla 52+ | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Alavés 50+ | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano 47+ | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Espanyol 44+ | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Osasuna 43+ | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Deportivo La Coruña 42+ | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Levante 41+ | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Celta Vigo 46+ | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 16 | Getafe 40+ | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 17 | Racing Santander 40+ | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 18 | Valencia 39+ | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 19 | Elche 38+ | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 20 | Málaga 34+ | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
裁決規則
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team records the listed number of points or more during the 2026-27 LALIGA season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
The listed team's points total will be its total in the official 2026-27 LALIGA standings once all of the season's matches have been completed, including any points deductions reflected in those standings at that time, whether or not they are under appeal. Points deductions or adjustments made after that point will not be considered.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to record the listed number of points or more during the 2026-27 LALIGA season, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team has recorded the listed number of points or more within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
常見問題
目前市場對「LALIGA: 2026-27 Team Points」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Barcelona 93+ 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Real Madrid 89+(5,000%),以及 Atlético Madrid 75+(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
