LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs

$334.4K Vol
2026年9月24日
Active
機率趨勢
Veni Vidi Vici 53.0%
Kawaii Kiwis 47.0%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game 2 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 4.5 Games 以 9,995% 位居第二,Game 3 Winner 以 9,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $334.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):Game 2 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $133.7K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 4.5 Games (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 4.5 Games 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Game 3 Winner (9,950%):以 9,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Game 3 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Odd/Even Total Kills (9,950%)、Odd/Even Total Kills (9,950%),以及 Odd/Even Total Kills (9,950%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$133.7K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 4.5 Games9995.0%$1959995¢-9895¢
3Game 3 Winner9950.0%$81.8K9950¢-9850¢
4Odd/Even Total Kills9950.0%$669950¢-9850¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills9950.0%$669950¢-9850¢
6Odd/Even Total Kills9950.0%$669950¢-9850¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
8O/U 3.5 Games8580.0%$6388580¢-8480¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$665000¢-4900¢
29Odd/Even Total Kills4950.0%$664950¢-4850¢
30Game Handicap: VVV (-1.5) vs Kawaii Kiwis (+1.5)4900.0%$104900¢-4800¢
31Match Winner3100.0%$45.3K3100¢-3000¢
32Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%950¢-850¢
33Both Teams Slay a Dragon950.0%950¢-850¢
34Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%950¢-850¢
35Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%950¢-850¢
36Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%950¢-850¢
37Game 4 Winner50.0%$35.1K50¢50¢
38Game 1 Winner5.0%$37.4K95¢
39Game Handicap: VVV (-2.5) vs Kawaii Kiwis (+2.5)5.0%$2095¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between Kawaii Kiwis and Veni Vidi Vici in the LES Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Kawaii Kiwis" if Kawaii Kiwis win the match against Veni Vidi Vici.

This market will resolve to "Veni Vidi Vici" if Veni Vidi Vici win the match against Kawaii Kiwis.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 23, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 23, 2026

  • 11:34 AM
    WIwinnersun
    $12.32

    Bought 28 Kawaii Kiwis for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.44

  • 11:33 AM
    0X0x4024B966496829A55C5501F032003435DdAFB865-1775741718881
    $9.00

    Bought 20.454546 Kawaii Kiwis for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.44

  • 11:32 AM
    $4.01

    Sold 8.92 Kawaii Kiwis for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici - Game 2 Winner at 0.45

  • 11:31 AM
    $4.91

    Bought 8.927273 Veni Vidi Vici for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici - Game 2 Winner at 0.55

  • 11:02 AM
    $3.92

    Bought 8 Kawaii Kiwis for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici - Game 2 Winner at 0.49

  • 10:54 AM
    TItinashi1199zz
    $4.76

    Bought 10.818182 Kawaii Kiwis for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.44

  • 10:37 AM
    4T4TheWin2
    $4.20

    Bought 10 Kawaii Kiwis for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.42

  • 10:37 AM
    AIAIluka
    $5.90

    Bought 10 Veni Vidi Vici for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.59

  • 10:37 AM
    AIAIluka
    $161.93

    Bought 279.19 Veni Vidi Vici for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.58

  • 10:37 AM
    $16.17

    Bought 27.881865 Veni Vidi Vici for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.58

  • 10:36 AM
    DPdpmo
    $2.00

    Bought 4.545455 Kawaii Kiwis for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.44

  • 10:33 AM
    0X0x8cb9c
    $1.00

    Bought 1.694914 Veni Vidi Vici for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.59

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

EX1
ExpaVertex
事件損益
-$159.06
成交量
$14,460.00
持倉數
Kawaii Kiwis
F22
0xF201…4616
事件損益
+$1,028.34
成交量
$12,478.53
持倉數
Kawaii KiwisVeni Vidi ViciKawaii Kiwis
AO3
aomendushen008
事件損益
-$1,963.39
成交量
$10,786.59
持倉數
Veni Vidi ViciKawaii Kiwis
FF4
0xffAa…5341
事件損益
-$419.66
成交量
$9,344.12
持倉數
Kawaii KiwisKawaii KiwisVeni Vidi Vici
CH5
chenyufei
事件損益
-$3,250.44
成交量
$8,919.28
持倉數
Veni Vidi Vici
LE6
LewLewZZ
事件損益
-$54.05
成交量
$6,873.04
持倉數
Kawaii KiwisKawaii Kiwis
SU7
Sunshine.Smile
事件損益
+$3,181.21
成交量
$6,810.75
持倉數
Kawaii Kiwis
AG8
agent2
事件損益
-$2,070.49
成交量
$6,722.30
持倉數
Veni Vidi ViciKawaii Kiwis

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 4.5 Games(9,995%),以及 Game 3 Winner(9,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $334.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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