Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs

$248.2K Vol
2026年9月25日
Active
機率趨勢
Yellow Submarine 57.0%
Team Synapse 43.0%

核心摘要

根據「Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game 3 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 3.5 Games 以 9,995% 位居第二,Game 4 Winner 以 9,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $248.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game 3 Winner (9,995%):Game 3 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $46.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 3.5 Games 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Game 4 Winner (9,950%):以 9,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Game 4 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Ends in Daytime (9,050%)、O/U 4.5 Games (5,000%),以及 Ends in Daytime (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Beat Roshan 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game 3 Winner9995.0%$46.8K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$1459995¢-9895¢
3Game 4 Winner9950.0%$71.0K9950¢-9850¢
4Ends in Daytime9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
5O/U 4.5 Games5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Match Winner4400.0%$19.9K4400¢-4300¢
17Both Teams Beat Roshan950.0%—950¢-850¢
18Both Teams Destroy Barracks950.0%—950¢-850¢
19Any Player Ultra Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
20Any Player Rampage950.0%—950¢-850¢
21Game Handicap: Team Synapse (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)55.0%—55¢45¢
22Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Team Synapse (+1.5)50.0%—50¢50¢
23Game Handicap: YeS (-2.5) vs Team Synapse (+2.5)50.0%$2550¢50¢
24Game Handicap: Team Synapse (-2.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+2.5)5.0%$55¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand Final match between Team Synapse and Yellow Submarine in the European Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Synapse" if Team Synapse win the match against Yellow Submarine.

This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win the match against Team Synapse.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 25, 2026

  • 10:55 AM
    MYMyTeacher1gxxyy
    $5.42

    Bought 10.42 Team Synapse for Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner at 0.52

  • 10:53 AM
    RERenatofs
    $1.00

    Bought 1.851852 Team Synapse for Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.54

  • 10:24 AM
    QUquietlantern
    $5.30

    Bought 10 Team Synapse for Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.53

  • 09:20 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $4.03

    Bought 7.61 Team Synapse for Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.53

  • 08:26 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $9.32

    Bought 17.584906 Team Synapse for Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.53

  • 06:04 AM
    DOdoglover4571
    $18.90

    Bought 35 Team Synapse for Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.54

  • 06:04 AM
    DOdoglover4571
    $16.96

    Bought 32 Team Synapse for Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.53

  • 06:02 AM
    KAkasper2517
    $20.04

    Bought 36.437679 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.55

  • 02:57 AM
    GAGaditima
    $6.77

    Bought 12.53 Team Synapse for Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.54

  • 02:16 AM
    0X0x591d13B5d39d33c4A8cAc4a3a7a7a75B60A0f4Df-1778770894396
    $99.52

    Bought 184.297455 Team Synapse for Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.54

  • 01:34 AM
    DVdvc2000000
    $9.95

    Bought 19.519231 Team Synapse for Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.51

  • 12:27 AM
    ODoddnectaryon
    $15.07

    Bought 27.907408 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.54

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

EM1
Ember.Spirit
事件損益
-$63.00
成交量
$600.00
持倉數
Team Synapse
F22
0xF201…4616
事件損益
+$47.83
成交量
$450.00
持倉數
Yellow Submarine
RE3
Reapex
事件損益
-$33.75
成交量
$270.00
持倉數
Team Synapse
BE4
betmakerbit92
事件損益
+$30.24
成交量
$241.94
持倉數
Yellow Submarine
515
0x51DB…9917
事件損益
+$16.15
成交量
$197.35
持倉數
Yellow Submarine
BO6
BookWarrior
事件損益
+$23.36
成交量
$187.39
持倉數
Yellow Submarine
597
0x591d…4396
事件損益
-$6.93
成交量
$184.30
持倉數
Team Synapse
FO8
forsenxd
事件損益
+$7.51
成交量
$178.40
持倉數
Yellow Submarine

常見問題

目前市場對「Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game 3 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 3.5 Games(9,995%),以及 Game 4 Winner(9,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $248.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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