
49ers vs. Seahawks - Second Half First Team to Score Points
核心摘要
根據「49ers vs. Seahawks - Second Half First Team to Score Points」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,49ers 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Seahawks 以 5,000% 位居第二,Neither 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- 49ers (5,000%):49ers 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Seahawks (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Seahawks 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
- Neither (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Neither 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 49ers | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Seahawks | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Neither | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁決規則
In the second half of the NFL football game between 49ers and Seahawks, scheduled for October 11 at 4:25 PM ET: This market is one outcome in a neg-risk group covering "49ers", "Seahawks" and "Neither Team". This market will resolve to "Yes" if this outcome scores the first points of the second half, or, for the "Neither Team" outcome, if no points are scored in the second half. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only points scored during that period count; overtime is not included. Exactly one outcome in the group resolves "Yes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
常見問題
目前市場對「49ers vs. Seahawks - Second Half First Team to Score Points」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,49ers 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Seahawks(5,000%),以及 Neither(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
