
Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A
核心摘要
根據「Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5) 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 以 9,950% 位居第二,Both Teams Destroy Barracks 以 9,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $1.3M,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5) (9,995%):Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5) 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $52.2K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (9,950%):作為最可行的替代選項,Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 保持著 9,950% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,950¢。
- Both Teams Destroy Barracks (9,050%):以 9,050% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Both Teams Destroy Barracks 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? (9,050%)、Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? (9,050%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? (9,050%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5) | 9995.0% | $52.2K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 5050.0% | $5 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 9 | Ends in Daytime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Any Player Rampage | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 11 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 4950.0% | $5 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 12 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 13 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 14 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 15 | Any Player Rampage | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 16 | First Blood in Game 2? | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 17 | Ends in Daytime | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 18 | Game 2 Winner | 5.0% | $1.0M | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 19 | Match Winner | 5.0% | $252.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 20 | O/U 2.5 Games | 5.0% | $5.4K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the Dota 2 Elimination match between Level UP and Xtreme Gaming in the BLAST Slam Group A, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Level UP" if Level UP win the match against Xtreme Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win the match against Level UP.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 30, 2026
- 01:01 PMMOMobyembre$21.20
Bought 24.94 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A at 0.85
- 12:58 PMZUzuyenjbhxbzs$1.29
Bought 8.0625 Level UP for Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A at 0.16
- 12:58 PMQWqwerty097$73.25
Bought 86.176466 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A at 0.85
- 12:45 PM0X0x2a5132cF817516CEe95dd0C16E5A809a064A7716-1781276686815$32.80
Bought 80 Level UP for Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5) at 0.41
- 12:35 PMNEneutralwave23$11.06
Bought 14.37 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.77
- 12:33 PMVIvibing123$400.00
Bought 1000 Level UP for Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5) at 0.4
- 12:33 PM——$10.00
Bought 24.390244 Level UP for Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5) at 0.41
- 12:13 PMNEnewlearner8069$9.60
Bought 40 Level UP for Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.24
- 12:06 PMCAcaspar1248$1.63
Bought 2.672132 Xtreme Gaming for Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5) at 0.61
- 11:31 AMBMbmw-enjoyer$134.17
Sold 344.02 Level UP for Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5) at 0.39
- 11:10 AMCAcaspar1248$5.52
Bought 6.494113 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A at 0.85
- 10:22 AMGGggnima$24.00
Bought 28.235293 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A at 0.85
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5) 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?(9,950%),以及 Both Teams Destroy Barracks(9,050%)。該市場總成交量已達 $1.3M,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
