Fresno State vs. San Jose State

$449K Vol
2026年9月20日
Active
機率趨勢
Fresno State 64.5%
San Jose State 35.5%

核心摘要

根據「Fresno State vs. San Jose State」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 29.5 以壓倒性的 9,050% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 31.5 以 8,850% 位居第二,O/U 33.5 以 8,550% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $449K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 29.5 (9,050%):O/U 29.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,050¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 31.5 (8,850%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 31.5 保持著 8,850% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,850¢。
  • O/U 33.5 (8,550%):以 8,550% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 33.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 35.5 (8,100%)、O/U 37.5 (7,550%),以及 San Jose State O/U 15.5 (7,350%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 39.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 29.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
2O/U 31.58850.0%8850¢-8750¢
3O/U 33.58550.0%8550¢-8450¢
4O/U 35.58100.0%8100¢-8000¢
5O/U 37.57550.0%7550¢-7450¢
6San Jose State O/U 15.57350.0%7350¢-7250¢
7O/U 39.57250.0%7250¢-7150¢
8Fresno State O/U 21.56750.0%6750¢-6650¢
9O/U 41.56550.0%6550¢-6450¢
10Fresno State vs. San Jose State6450.0%$404.2K6450¢-6350¢
11Spread -0.56400.0%6400¢-6300¢
12O/U 43.56200.0%6200¢-6100¢
13San Jose State O/U 18.56200.0%6200¢-6100¢
14Spread -1.56150.0%6150¢-6050¢
151H Moneyline5900.0%5900¢-5800¢
16Spread -2.55900.0%5900¢-5800¢
17O/U 45.55550.0%5550¢-5450¢
181H Spread -0.55500.0%5500¢-5400¢
19Fresno State O/U 24.55450.0%5450¢-5350¢
201Q Moneyline5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
211H Spread -2.55200.0%5200¢-5100¢
22Spread -3.55050.0%$16.2K5050¢-4950¢
23O/U 47.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
24Fresno State 1H O/U 15.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
252H Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Fresno State O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27San Jose State O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
282Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
293Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
304Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
311H O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
321H O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
332H Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
342H Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
352H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
362H Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
372H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
382H O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
392H O/U 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
402H O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
412H O/U 26.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
422H O/U 29.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
431Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
441Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
451Q Spread -0.55000.0%$735000¢-4900¢
461Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
471Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
481Q O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
491Q O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
501Q O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
511Q O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
521Q O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
532Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
542Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
552Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
562Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
572Q O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
582Q O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
592Q O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
602Q O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
612Q O/U 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
623Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
633Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
643Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
653Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
663Q O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
673Q O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
683Q O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
693Q O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
703Q O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
714Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
724Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
734Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
744Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
754Q O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
764Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
774Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
784Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
794Q O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
80Fresno State 1H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
81San Jose State 1H O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
82San Jose State 1H O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
83San Jose State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
84Fresno State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
85Fresno State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
86Fresno State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
87San Jose State 2H O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
88San Jose State 2H O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
89San Jose State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
902Q Spread -1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
912H Spread -2.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
922Q Spread -0.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
93San Jose State O/U 21.54850.0%$2054850¢-4750¢
94Spread -4.54800.0%$21.3K4800¢-4700¢
951H O/U 27.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
964Q Spread -0.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
97Fresno State 1H O/U 13.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
981H O/U 30.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
99Spread -5.54600.0%$21.4K4600¢-4500¢
1001H O/U 24.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
101O/U 49.54550.0%$14.7K4550¢-4450¢
1021Q Spread -0.54550.0%$734550¢-4450¢
103Fresno State O/U 27.54550.0%4550¢-4450¢
1041H Spread -3.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
1053Q Spread -1.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
1064Q Spread -1.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
107Spread -6.54450.0%$15.0K4450¢-4350¢
1083Q Spread -0.54450.0%4450¢-4350¢
109O/U 51.54100.0%4100¢-4000¢
1101H Spread -4.53950.0%3950¢-3850¢
1111H Spread -5.53850.0%3850¢-3750¢
112Spread -7.53800.0%$2.8K3800¢-3700¢
113Spread -9.53600.0%3600¢-3500¢
114Spread -0.53550.0%3550¢-3450¢
115Fresno State O/U 30.53550.0%3550¢-3450¢
116San Jose State O/U 24.53550.0%3550¢-3450¢
117Spread -8.53500.0%3500¢-3400¢
118O/U 53.53500.0%3500¢-3400¢
119Spread -1.53300.0%3300¢-3200¢
120Spread -10.53150.0%3150¢-3050¢
121Spread -11.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢
122Spread -2.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢
123O/U 55.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢
1241H Spread -7.52950.0%2950¢-2850¢
125O/U 57.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
126Spread -12.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
127San Jose State O/U 27.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
128Spread -13.52700.0%2700¢-2600¢
129Fresno State O/U 33.52550.0%2550¢-2450¢
130Spread -4.52400.0%$21.3K2400¢-2300¢
131Spread -14.52250.0%2250¢-2150¢
132Spread -16.52150.0%2150¢-2050¢
133O/U 59.52100.0%2100¢-2000¢
134O/U 61.51800.0%1800¢-1700¢
135Spread -7.51700.0%$2.8K1700¢-1600¢
136O/U 63.51550.0%1550¢-1450¢
137Spread -8.51450.0%1450¢-1350¢
138Spread -20.51400.0%$741400¢-1300¢
139Spread -19.51400.0%1400¢-1300¢
140O/U 65.51250.0%1250¢-1150¢
141Spread -10.51150.0%1150¢-1050¢
142Spread -11.51100.0%1100¢-1000¢
143Spread -23.51050.0%$291050¢-950¢
144O/U 67.51050.0%1050¢-950¢
145Spread -22.5950.0%950¢-850¢
146O/U 69.5950.0%950¢-850¢
147Spread -14.5800.0%800¢-700¢
148Spread -26.5450.0%450¢-350¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Fresno State and San Jose State, scheduled for September 19 at 11:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Fresno State" if Fresno State win the game.

This market will resolve to "San Jose State" if San Jose State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 19, 2026

  • 11:21 PM
    $2,511.44

    Bought 4406.035088 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-6.5) at 0.57

  • 11:21 PM
    G3g3ros
    $10.00

    Bought 66.666667 Fresno State for Spread: Fresno State (-20.5) at 0.15

  • 11:20 PM
    $1,812.75

    Bought 2832.421875 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-7.5) at 0.64

  • 11:16 PM
    FAFaroeseNationalist
    $502.50

    Bought 1005 Fresno State for Spread: Fresno State (-4.5) at 0.5

  • 11:15 PM
    CLclement21
    $30.60

    Bought 60 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-4.5) at 0.51

  • 10:35 PM
    VIvincetrades
    $1.05

    Bought 7 Fresno State for Spread: Fresno State (-20.5) at 0.15

  • 10:32 PM
    MAmaz26
    $1,168.03

    Sold 2246.21 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-5.5) at 0.52

  • 10:31 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $7.36

    Bought 16 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-3.5) at 0.46

  • 10:31 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $19.24

    Bought 37 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-5.5) at 0.52

  • 10:31 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $361.08

    Bought 656.51 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-6.5) at 0.55

  • 10:30 PM
    MAmaz26
    $1,145.57

    Bought 2246.21 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-5.5) at 0.51

  • 09:16 PM
    NInigiri99
    $21.00

    Bought 60 San Jose State for Fresno State vs. San Jose State at 0.35

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

WR1
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件損益
+$410.92
成交量
$22,486.11
持倉數
San Jose StateUnderSan Jose State+2
IM2
imjustkenisghey
事件損益
+$97.15
成交量
$19,426.16
持倉數
Fresno State
WE3
WeBuyHighWeSelllow
事件損益
-$117.58
成交量
$18,008.79
持倉數
Fresno StateFresno StateOver+1
PR4
primm
事件損益
-$90.00
成交量
$18,000.00
持倉數
San Jose State
HO5
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
-$191.46
成交量
$12,358.63
持倉數
OverSan Jose StateSan Jose State+1
NI6
nigiri99
事件損益
-$605.52
成交量
$4,217.99
持倉數
San Jose StateSan Jose StateSan Jose State+1
MO7
mooseborzoi
事件損益
-$103.63
成交量
$4,133.77
持倉數
Fresno StateSan Jose StateUnder
ES8
esportsbetter1
事件損益
+$20.61
成交量
$4,124.37
持倉數
San Jose State

常見問題

目前市場對「Fresno State vs. San Jose State」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 29.5 以 9,050% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 31.5(8,850%),以及 O/U 33.5(8,550%)。該市場總成交量已達 $449K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始