Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?

根據「Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，October 31 以壓倒性的 3,750% 獲勝機率主導市場；September 30 以 335% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 $733，反映出市場的高度關注。

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

• October 31 (3,750%)：October 31 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 3,750¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

• September 30 (335%)：作為最可行的替代選項，September 30 保持著 335% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 335¢。

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lauren Boebert announces, on or before the date specified in the market title, 11:59 PM ET, that she has resigned or will resign as United States Representative for Colorado's 4th congressional district. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The deadline applies to the timing of the announcement, not the effective date of the resignation. An announcement made by the deadline that she will resign on a later date, including a date after the specified deadline, will qualify.

If it becomes impossible for Lauren Boebert to resign or to announce her resignation (e.g., due to her removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes", it is only necessary that Lauren Boebert announce that she has resigned or will resign. Whether she actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. An announcement that she will not seek re-election, or that she is ending her 2026 campaign, will not qualify on its own.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lauren Boebert or the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.