Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller

$1.3M Vol
2026年10月12日
Active
機率趨勢
Elmer Moeller 100.0%
Thiago Monteiro 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Completed Match 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller 以 5% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 $1.3M,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Completed Match (9,995%):Completed Match 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller (5%):作為最可行的替代選項,Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller 保持著 5% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5¢。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Completed Match9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller5.0%$1.3M5¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Monteiro and Elmer Moeller in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Thiago Monteiro' if Thiago Monteiro advances against Elmer Moeller.

This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Thiago Monteiro.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 5, 2026

  • 12:00 PM
    XPxpojk123
    $3.00

    Bought 5.660378 Thiago Monteiro for Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller at 0.53

  • 11:39 AM
    SCsc1pt0x
    $11.58

    Bought 21.849057 Thiago Monteiro for Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller at 0.53

  • 10:34 AM
    KOKomb
    $1.95

    Bought 3.679246 Thiago Monteiro for Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller at 0.53

  • 10:19 AM
    BLblazedbunny
    $10.00

    Bought 20.833334 Elmer Moeller for Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller at 0.48

  • 09:55 AM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $211.99

    Bought 399.981131 Thiago Monteiro for Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller at 0.53

Oct 4, 2026

  • 11:33 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.470587 Elmer Moeller for Set Handicap: Thiago Monteiro (-1.5) vs Elmer Moeller (+1.5) at 0.68

  • 11:32 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.470587 Elmer Moeller for Set Handicap: Thiago Monteiro (-1.5) vs Elmer Moeller (+1.5) at 0.68

  • 11:31 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2.12766 Elmer Moeller for Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller at 0.47

  • 11:30 PM
    PRprofitlaw
    $1.00

    Bought 2.173914 Elmer Moeller for Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller at 0.46

  • 11:05 PM
    LAlatinbi
    $12.73

    Bought 22.732143 Thiago Monteiro for Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller at 0.56

  • 09:39 PM
    OLOlivier987
    $16.20

    Bought 36 Elmer Moeller for Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller at 0.45

  • 09:39 PM
    HGhgr1
    $8.00

    Bought 17.021277 Under for Monteiro vs. Moeller: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.47

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

F11
0xf12f…3239
事件損益
-$211.28
成交量
$8,451.52
持倉數
Thiago Monteiro
RN2
RN1
事件損益
+$128.50
成交量
$2,990.00
持倉數
Elmer Moeller
323
0x32b4…3653
事件損益
+$90.97
成交量
$2,174.33
持倉數
Elmer Moeller
PP4
Ppk2347
事件損益
-$558.15
成交量
$2,112.19
持倉數
Thiago Monteiro
LK5
lkjasdf
事件損益
-$370.00
成交量
$2,000.00
持倉數
Thiago Monteiro
CA6
CandleHammerDrums
事件損益
+$77.06
成交量
$1,949.86
持倉數
Elmer Moeller
OM7
omnibus-076daa
事件損益
-$401.64
成交量
$1,761.11
持倉數
Thiago MonteiroElmer Moeller
DE8
0xdeff…78f8
事件損益
+$361.17
成交量
$1,624.58
持倉數
Elmer Moeller

常見問題

目前市場對「Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller(5%)。該市場總成交量已達 $1.3M,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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