What will the announcers say during the Falcons vs Saints game?

$862 Vol
2026年10月6日
Active
機率趨勢
Safety 97.0%
Fumble / Fumbles 95.0%
Trade / Traded 86.5%
Inch / Inches 72.0%
Wild 69.5%

核心摘要

根據「What will the announcers say during the Falcons vs Saints game?」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Safety 以壓倒性的 9,725% 獲勝機率主導市場;Fumble / Fumbles 以 9,500% 位居第二,Trade / Traded 以 8,650% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $862,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Safety (9,725%):Safety 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,725¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Fumble / Fumbles (9,500%):作為最可行的替代選項,Fumble / Fumbles 保持著 9,500% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,500¢。
  • Trade / Traded (8,650%):以 8,650% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Trade / Traded 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Inch / Inches (7,100%)、Turf (4,750%),以及 Wild (4,450%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Offside / Offsides 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Safety9725.0%—9725¢-9625¢
2Fumble / Fumbles9500.0%—9500¢-9400¢
3Trade / Traded8650.0%$378650¢-8550¢
4Inch / Inches7100.0%$557100¢-7000¢
5Turf4750.0%$374750¢-4650¢
6Wild4450.0%$374450¢-4350¢
7Offside / Offsides3850.0%$1003850¢-3750¢
8Wind / Windy3650.0%$373650¢-3550¢
9What a Catch3450.0%$373450¢-3350¢
10No Good2850.0%$372850¢-2750¢
11Roughing The Passer1950.0%$371950¢-1850¢
12Hail Mary1750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
13-No Qualifying Event-1650.0%$4481650¢-1550¢
14Late Hit1100.0%—1100¢-1000¢
15One Handed700.0%—700¢-600¢
16Referee 5+ times305.0%—305¢-205¢

裁決規則

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by a play-by-play announcer or a game analyst of the official ESPN announce team during the English-language broadcast of the Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints game on ESPN, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the events of the official game broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending with the conclusion of the final play of the game, including any overtime, if applicable. Pregame coverage, halftime studio coverage, and postgame commentary will not be considered.

For the purpose of this market, the "ESPN announce team" refers only to the play-by-play announcer and the game analyst or analysts calling this game from the broadcast booth. Remarks made by sideline reporters, rules or officiating analysts, studio hosts, guest commentators, in-booth guests, players, coaches, or any other individuals will not count toward resolution, including when such remarks air during in-game interviews or in-game segments.

The resolution source for this market is the national ESPN telecast of this game. Any alternate or simultaneous presentation of this game, including alternate broadcasts, alternate audio or commentary feeds, and separately produced local team telecasts, will not be considered for resolution purposes. Only remarks made live during the official broadcast will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

常見問題

目前市場對「What will the announcers say during the Falcons vs Saints game?」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Safety 以 9,725% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Fumble / Fumbles(9,500%),以及 Trade / Traded(8,650%)。該市場總成交量已達 $862,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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